Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister following his third-term victory in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance holding a parliamentary majority through coalition support. The next general election is scheduled for 2029, placing any leadership change well beyond the December 31, 2026, market horizon. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling from August 2026 shows Modi as the preferred choice for prime minister at 48.7 percent and projects the NDA retaining a comfortable majority if polls were held immediately. While some surveys note modest declines in approval amid economic pressures and youth concerns, no verified developments—such as coalition fractures, no-confidence motions, or official announcements—indicate an imminent exit. Trader consensus at 94.3 percent for "No" aligns with this institutional stability and the absence of scheduled electoral or procedural triggers before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoModi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Modi uscirà entro il 31 dicembre 2026?
Sì
6% probabilità
$250,013 Vol.
$250,013 Vol.
30 dic 2026
Sì
6% probabilità
$250,013 Vol.
$250,013 Vol.
30 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister following his third-term victory in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance holding a parliamentary majority through coalition support. The next general election is scheduled for 2029, placing any leadership change well beyond the December 31, 2026, market horizon. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling from August 2026 shows Modi as the preferred choice for prime minister at 48.7 percent and projects the NDA retaining a comfortable majority if polls were held immediately. While some surveys note modest declines in approval amid economic pressures and youth concerns, no verified developments—such as coalition fractures, no-confidence motions, or official announcements—indicate an imminent exit. Trader consensus at 94.3 percent for "No" aligns with this institutional stability and the absence of scheduled electoral or procedural triggers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$250,013Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister following his third-term victory in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance holding a parliamentary majority through coalition support. The next general election is scheduled for 2029, placing any leadership change well beyond the December 31, 2026, market horizon. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling from August 2026 shows Modi as the preferred choice for prime minister at 48.7 percent and projects the NDA retaining a comfortable majority if polls were held immediately. While some surveys note modest declines in approval amid economic pressures and youth concerns, no verified developments—such as coalition fractures, no-confidence motions, or official announcements—indicate an imminent exit. Trader consensus at 94.3 percent for "No" aligns with this institutional stability and the absence of scheduled electoral or procedural triggers before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$250,013Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETRisolutore
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi remains India's prime minister following his third-term victory in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, with his Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance holding a parliamentary majority through coalition support. The next general election is scheduled for 2029, placing any leadership change well beyond the December 31, 2026, market horizon. Recent India Today-CVoter Mood of the Nation polling from August 2026 shows Modi as the preferred choice for prime minister at 48.7 percent and projects the NDA retaining a comfortable majority if polls were held immediately. While some surveys note modest declines in approval amid economic pressures and youth concerns, no verified developments—such as coalition fractures, no-confidence motions, or official announcements—indicate an imminent exit. Trader consensus at 94.3 percent for "No" aligns with this institutional stability and the absence of scheduled electoral or procedural triggers before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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