Google's ongoing delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro, the expected next flagship after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, is the dominant factor shaping trader views. Announced with a June target at Google I/O in May, the model has slipped due to shortfalls against internal benchmarks during testing and refinement, prompting a July 21 release of updated Flash variants instead. Pre-training has begun on the subsequent Gemini 4 series, highlighting resource allocation trade-offs amid competition from other frontier large language models. Traders are monitoring DeepMind statements on partner testing and any near-term product or API updates that could confirm a resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoProssimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato da...?
Prossimo Google Gemini Pro Model rilasciato da...?
$472,855 Vol.
31 ago 2026
7 agosto
8%
14 agosto
64%
21 agosto
82%
31 agosto
91%
$472,855 Vol.
7 agosto
$79,820 Vol.
8%
14 agosto
$45,115 Vol.
64%
21 agosto
$25,218 Vol.
82%
31 agosto
$35,946 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro, the expected next flagship after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, is the dominant factor shaping trader views. Announced with a June target at Google I/O in May, the model has slipped due to shortfalls against internal benchmarks during testing and refinement, prompting a July 21 release of updated Flash variants instead. Pre-training has begun on the subsequent Gemini 4 series, highlighting resource allocation trade-offs amid competition from other frontier large language models. Traders are monitoring DeepMind statements on partner testing and any near-term product or API updates that could confirm a resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercato aperto: Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Volume
$472,855Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's ongoing delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro, the expected next flagship after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, is the dominant factor shaping trader views. Announced with a June target at Google I/O in May, the model has slipped due to shortfalls against internal benchmarks during testing and refinement, prompting a July 21 release of updated Flash variants instead. Pre-training has begun on the subsequent Gemini 4 series, highlighting resource allocation trade-offs amid competition from other frontier large language models. Traders are monitoring DeepMind statements on partner testing and any near-term product or API updates that could confirm a resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$472,855Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's ongoing delay of Gemini 3.5 Pro, the expected next flagship after the February 2026 release of 3.1 Pro, is the dominant factor shaping trader views. Announced with a June target at Google I/O in May, the model has slipped due to shortfalls against internal benchmarks during testing and refinement, prompting a July 21 release of updated Flash variants instead. Pre-training has begun on the subsequent Gemini 4 series, highlighting resource allocation trade-offs amid competition from other frontier large language models. Traders are monitoring DeepMind statements on partner testing and any near-term product or API updates that could confirm a resolution window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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