Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) closing the week of April 13 between $4.00-$5.00, reflecting the stock's recent surge to $4.82 on April 15 amid high trading volume of over 31 million shares. This momentum stems from operational turnaround signals under Opendoor 2.0, including record weekly home acquisitions of 658 contracts—a 448% increase since new CEO Kaz Nejatian's September start—and institutional buying like Morgan Stanley nearly doubling its stake to over 10%. Q4 2025 results reinforced positivity with revenue of $736 million beating estimates by 24%, 46% quarter-over-quarter home purchase growth, and reiterated breakeven adjusted net income by end-2026. A 24.1% chance for $5.00-$6.00 captures upside potential from improving housing sentiment, while downside bins below 10% price in diminished legacy risks. Q1 2026 earnings on May 5 loom as the next catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$5.00-$6.00 42.0%
$3.00-$4.00 6.3%
$6.00-$7.00 2.0%
<$0 1.1%
<$0
1%
$0-$1.00
1%
$1.00-$2.00
1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
6%
$4.00-$5.00
56%
$5.00-$6.00
42%
$6.00-$7.00
7%
$7.00-$8.00
<1%
$8.00-$9.00
<1%
>$9.00
<1%
$5.00-$6.00 42.0%
$3.00-$4.00 6.3%
$6.00-$7.00 2.0%
<$0 1.1%
<$0
1%
$0-$1.00
1%
$1.00-$2.00
1%
$2.00-$3.00
1%
$3.00-$4.00
6%
$4.00-$5.00
56%
$5.00-$6.00
42%
$6.00-$7.00
7%
$7.00-$8.00
<1%
$8.00-$9.00
<1%
>$9.00
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Mercato aperto: Apr 10, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Fonte di risoluzione
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 55.5% implied probability for Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) closing the week of April 13 between $4.00-$5.00, reflecting the stock's recent surge to $4.82 on April 15 amid high trading volume of over 31 million shares. This momentum stems from operational turnaround signals under Opendoor 2.0, including record weekly home acquisitions of 658 contracts—a 448% increase since new CEO Kaz Nejatian's September start—and institutional buying like Morgan Stanley nearly doubling its stake to over 10%. Q4 2025 results reinforced positivity with revenue of $736 million beating estimates by 24%, 46% quarter-over-quarter home purchase growth, and reiterated breakeven adjusted net income by end-2026. A 24.1% chance for $5.00-$6.00 captures upside potential from improving housing sentiment, while downside bins below 10% price in diminished legacy risks. Q1 2026 earnings on May 5 loom as the next catalyst.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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