Trader consensus prices CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent polls showing AfD leading by 12-14 points—latest INSA survey from March 24 has AfD at 38%, CDU 25%, Die Linke 13%, with SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP in single digits. This positioning stems from AfD's steady ascent in eastern Germany amid migration concerns, bolstered by their recent approval of a hardline election program emphasizing remigration. CDU under new Premier Sven Schulze, elected January 28, holds firm as incumbent despite coalition strains, far ahead of fragmented challengers under proportional representation; upcoming campaign events could test this gap, though no major shifts in the past 30 days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCDU 86%
AfD 10%
BSW 1.6%
SPD 1.1%
$42,931 Vol.
$42,931 Vol.
6 set 2026
CDU
86%
AfD
10%
BSW
2%
SPD
1%
FDP
1%
I Verdi
<1%
La Sinistra
<1%
CDU 86%
AfD 10%
BSW 1.6%
SPD 1.1%
$42,931 Vol.
$42,931 Vol.
6 set 2026
CDU
$16,156 Vol.
86%
AfD
$797 Vol.
10%
BSW
$819 Vol.
2%
SPD
$21,889 Vol.
1%
FDP
$1,689 Vol.
1%
I Verdi
$915 Vol.
<1%
La Sinistra
$665 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent polls showing AfD leading by 12-14 points—latest INSA survey from March 24 has AfD at 38%, CDU 25%, Die Linke 13%, with SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP in single digits. This positioning stems from AfD's steady ascent in eastern Germany amid migration concerns, bolstered by their recent approval of a hardline election program emphasizing remigration. CDU under new Premier Sven Schulze, elected January 28, holds firm as incumbent despite coalition strains, far ahead of fragmented challengers under proportional representation; upcoming campaign events could test this gap, though no major shifts in the past 30 days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Mercato aperto: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$42,931Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus prices CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent polls showing AfD leading by 12-14 points—latest INSA survey from March 24 has AfD at 38%, CDU 25%, Die Linke 13%, with SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP in single digits. This positioning stems from AfD's steady ascent in eastern Germany amid migration concerns, bolstered by their recent approval of a hardline election program emphasizing remigration. CDU under new Premier Sven Schulze, elected January 28, holds firm as incumbent despite coalition strains, far ahead of fragmented challengers under proportional representation; upcoming campaign events could test this gap, though no major shifts in the past 30 days.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$42,931Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent polls showing AfD leading by 12-14 points—latest INSA survey from March 24 has AfD at 38%, CDU 25%, Die Linke 13%, with SPD, BSW, Greens, and FDP in single digits. This positioning stems from AfD's steady ascent in eastern Germany amid migration concerns, bolstered by their recent approval of a hardline election program emphasizing remigration. CDU under new Premier Sven Schulze, elected January 28, holds firm as incumbent despite coalition strains, far ahead of fragmented challengers under proportional representation; upcoming campaign events could test this gap, though no major shifts in the past 30 days.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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