Saudi Arabia maintains a fragile informal truce with Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis since 2022, following the end of its coalition intervention, amid ongoing low-level tensions in the Red Sea and Houthi threats tied to the broader Iran conflict. Recent developments include Houthi missile platform movements near the Saudi border on April 7 and warnings of strikes on Saudi energy facilities, prompting Riyadh's delivery of advanced military aid, including mine-resistant vehicles, to Yemen's government forces via Al-Wadiah on April 14—signaling preparations for a potential ground offensive toward Houthi-held Sanaa. The Yemeni government is mobilizing anti-Houthi forces, while Saudi Arabia prioritizes diplomacy but faces escalation risks from Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns before any UN-mediated talks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'azione militare dell'Arabia Saudita contro lo Yemen da parte di...?
L'azione militare dell'Arabia Saudita contro lo Yemen da parte di...?
$59,519 Vol.
31 mar 2026
30 aprile
6%
$59,519 Vol.
30 aprile
$29,279 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Saudi Arabia maintains a fragile informal truce with Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis since 2022, following the end of its coalition intervention, amid ongoing low-level tensions in the Red Sea and Houthi threats tied to the broader Iran conflict. Recent developments include Houthi missile platform movements near the Saudi border on April 7 and warnings of strikes on Saudi energy facilities, prompting Riyadh's delivery of advanced military aid, including mine-resistant vehicles, to Yemen's government forces via Al-Wadiah on April 14—signaling preparations for a potential ground offensive toward Houthi-held Sanaa. The Yemeni government is mobilizing anti-Houthi forces, while Saudi Arabia prioritizes diplomacy but faces escalation risks from Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns before any UN-mediated talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Mercato aperto: Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ET
Volume
$59,519Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.Saudi Arabia maintains a fragile informal truce with Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis since 2022, following the end of its coalition intervention, amid ongoing low-level tensions in the Red Sea and Houthi threats tied to the broader Iran conflict. Recent developments include Houthi missile platform movements near the Saudi border on April 7 and warnings of strikes on Saudi energy facilities, prompting Riyadh's delivery of advanced military aid, including mine-resistant vehicles, to Yemen's government forces via Al-Wadiah on April 14—signaling preparations for a potential ground offensive toward Houthi-held Sanaa. The Yemeni government is mobilizing anti-Houthi forces, while Saudi Arabia prioritizes diplomacy but faces escalation risks from Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns before any UN-mediated talks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Saudi Arabia initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Arabian Standard Time (GMT+3). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "military action" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Saudi Arabia's military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Saudi Arabian missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Saudi Arabian ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If no qualifying strike is confirmed by the resolution date, this market will remain open until the end of the second day after the resolution time. If the date/time of a qualifying strike cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by that time, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether a strike was later confirmed to have taken place.
Volume
$59,519Data di fine
31 mar 2026Mercato aperto
Mar 24, 2026, 1:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Saudi Arabia maintains a fragile informal truce with Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis since 2022, following the end of its coalition intervention, amid ongoing low-level tensions in the Red Sea and Houthi threats tied to the broader Iran conflict. Recent developments include Houthi missile platform movements near the Saudi border on April 7 and warnings of strikes on Saudi energy facilities, prompting Riyadh's delivery of advanced military aid, including mine-resistant vehicles, to Yemen's government forces via Al-Wadiah on April 14—signaling preparations for a potential ground offensive toward Houthi-held Sanaa. The Yemeni government is mobilizing anti-Houthi forces, while Saudi Arabia prioritizes diplomacy but faces escalation risks from Houthi provocations or diplomatic breakdowns before any UN-mediated talks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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