All three Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages, with Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed versus Mike Rogers, Maine’s Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins, and Texas’s James Talarico versus Ken Paxton each showing margins inside sampling error. These dynamics produce the market’s near-even split between a Democratic sweep and other outcome combinations, as small shifts in turnout, candidate momentum, or national conditions could flip any seat. Heavy outside spending and ongoing voter persuasion efforts in the final weeks keep probabilities fluid, with no single race yet producing a durable lead that would separate the combo probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVittoria totale dei Dem 45%
Dem TX e ME, Rep MI 23%
Repubblicani TX, Democratici MI & ME 21%
Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 20%
Vittoria totale dei Dem
45%
Dem TX e ME, Rep MI
23%
Repubblicani TX, Democratici MI & ME
21%
Vittoria totale dei repubblicani
20%
Rep TX & MI, Dem ME
14%
Dem. TX & MI, Rep. ME
10%
Dem TX, Rep MI e ME
5%
Repubblicani TX e ME, Democratici MI
35%
Vittoria totale dei Dem 45%
Dem TX e ME, Rep MI 23%
Repubblicani TX, Democratici MI & ME 21%
Vittoria totale dei repubblicani 20%
Vittoria totale dei Dem
45%
Dem TX e ME, Rep MI
23%
Repubblicani TX, Democratici MI & ME
21%
Vittoria totale dei repubblicani
20%
Rep TX & MI, Dem ME
14%
Dem. TX & MI, Rep. ME
10%
Dem TX, Rep MI e ME
5%
Repubblicani TX e ME, Democratici MI
35%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 1:26 PM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...All three Senate contests remain toss-ups according to recent polling averages, with Michigan’s Abdul El-Sayed versus Mike Rogers, Maine’s Troy Jackson versus Susan Collins, and Texas’s James Talarico versus Ken Paxton each showing margins inside sampling error. These dynamics produce the market’s near-even split between a Democratic sweep and other outcome combinations, as small shifts in turnout, candidate momentum, or national conditions could flip any seat. Heavy outside spending and ongoing voter persuasion efforts in the final weeks keep probabilities fluid, with no single race yet producing a durable lead that would separate the combo probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato



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