In the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary set for June 2, 2026, trader consensus reflects a dead heat between U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson and Aberdeen businessman Toby Doeden at 37.5% each, driven by dueling March polls—the Emerson College/KELO survey showing Johnson leading incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, while others painted a murkier picture—and candidates' framing of a two-person race. The April 13 SDPB-South Dakota News Watch debate featuring all four contenders, including state House Speaker Jon Hansen, offered policy clashes on taxes and leadership but produced no breakout momentum, keeping odds fluid amid low undecided turnout in this low-profile early primary. Rhoden lags at 21% due to trailing polls, with separation possible via endorsements, fundraising edges, or regional voter blocs in rural versus urban areas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoToby Doeden 38%
Dusty Johnson 38%
Larry Rhoden 21%
Jon Hansen 1.2%
$23,033 Vol.
$23,033 Vol.
Toby Doeden
38%
Dusty Johnson
38%
Larry Rhoden
21%
Jon Hansen
1%
Toby Doeden 38%
Dusty Johnson 38%
Larry Rhoden 21%
Jon Hansen 1.2%
$23,033 Vol.
$23,033 Vol.
Toby Doeden
38%
Dusty Johnson
38%
Larry Rhoden
21%
Jon Hansen
1%
If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercato aperto: Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary set for June 2, 2026, trader consensus reflects a dead heat between U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson and Aberdeen businessman Toby Doeden at 37.5% each, driven by dueling March polls—the Emerson College/KELO survey showing Johnson leading incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden, while others painted a murkier picture—and candidates' framing of a two-person race. The April 13 SDPB-South Dakota News Watch debate featuring all four contenders, including state House Speaker Jon Hansen, offered policy clashes on taxes and leadership but produced no breakout momentum, keeping odds fluid amid low undecided turnout in this low-profile early primary. Rhoden lags at 21% due to trailing polls, with separation possible via endorsements, fundraising edges, or regional voter blocs in rural versus urban areas.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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