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Politica·Senato Del Texas

Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano

Market icon
Politica·Senato Del Texas

Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano

0.6–0.9M 55%

0.9–1.2M 16%

<0.6M 14%

1.5–1.8M 5.0%

Polymarket

$37,624 Vol.

0.6–0.9M 55%

0.9–1.2M 16%

<0.6M 14%

1.5–1.8M 5.0%

Polymarket

$37,624 Vol.

<0.6M

$795 Vol.

18%

0.6–0.9M

$30,343 Vol.

49%

0.9–1.2M

$664 Vol.

21%

1.2–1.5M

$4,023 Vol.

31%

1.5–1.8M

$282 Vol.

5%

1.8–2.1M

$545 Vol.

2%

2.1–2.4M

$255 Vol.

1%

2.4–2.7M

$410 Vol.

2%

2.7M+

$306 Vol.

1%

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff turnout anticipates a steep drop from the March 3 primary's 2.16 million GOP votes, aligning historical patterns of 50-70% declines in runoffs due to voter fatigue and fewer contested races. The high-profile John Cornyn-Ken Paxton contest, the costliest Senate primary ever at over $120 million spent, drives moderate optimism for 0.6-0.9 million (40%) versus 1.2-1.5 million (35.1%) votes, kept tight by Paxton's strength among the low-turnout base per recent polls and Cornyn's establishment fundraising edge. Democratic primary overperformance signals broader GOP enthusiasm risks, while early voting May 18-22 and potential endorsements like Trump's could tip probabilities.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$37,624
Data di fine
26 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus on Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff turnout anticipates a steep drop from the March 3 primary's 2.16 million GOP votes, aligning historical patterns of 50-70% declines in runoffs due to voter fatigue and fewer contested races. The high-profile John Cornyn-Ken Paxton contest, the costliest Senate primary ever at over $120 million spent, drives moderate optimism for 0.6-0.9 million (40%) versus 1.2-1.5 million (35.1%) votes, kept tight by Paxton's strength among the low-turnout base per recent polls and Cornyn's establishment fundraising edge. Democratic primary overperformance signals broader GOP enthusiasm risks, while early voting May 18-22 and potential endorsements like Trump's could tip probabilities.

The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$37,624
Data di fine
26 mag 2026
Mercato aperto
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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Domande frequenti

"Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 9 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "0.6–0.9M" a 49%, seguito da "1.2–1.5M" a 31%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 49¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano" ha generato $37.6K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Mar 4, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano", esplora i 9 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano" è "0.6–0.9M" a 49%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 49% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "1.2–1.5M" a 31%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Affluenza al Senato del Texas Runoff primario repubblicano" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.