Bayern Munich leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League following their dramatic late comeback to eliminate Real Madrid in the Allianz Arena during Tuesday's quarterfinal second leg, securing aggregate advancement and boosting momentum into a blockbuster semifinal against PSG. Arsenal (28.5%) advanced comfortably with a 3-0 aggregate over Sporting CP, showcasing Premier League resilience, while PSG (25.5%) and Atletico Madrid (11.3%) progressed via strong knockout performances, setting up a highly competitive final four. The bunched odds reflect the razor-thin margins in these stylistic clashes—Bayern's attack vs. PSG's firepower, Arsenal's pressing vs. Atletico's defensive steel—with no clear favorite amid recent form parity and home advantages in legs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoBayern Monaco 34%
Arsenal 29%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11.3%
$240,219,230 Vol.
$240,219,230 Vol.
Bayern Monaco
34%
Arsenal
29%
PSG
26%
Atletico Madrid
11%
Real Madrid
<1%
Sporting
<1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Bayern Monaco 34%
Arsenal 29%
PSG 26%
Atletico Madrid 11.3%
$240,219,230 Vol.
$240,219,230 Vol.
Bayern Monaco
34%
Arsenal
29%
PSG
26%
Atletico Madrid
11%
Real Madrid
<1%
Sporting
<1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bayern Munich leads trader consensus at 33.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Champions League following their dramatic late comeback to eliminate Real Madrid in the Allianz Arena during Tuesday's quarterfinal second leg, securing aggregate advancement and boosting momentum into a blockbuster semifinal against PSG. Arsenal (28.5%) advanced comfortably with a 3-0 aggregate over Sporting CP, showcasing Premier League resilience, while PSG (25.5%) and Atletico Madrid (11.3%) progressed via strong knockout performances, setting up a highly competitive final four. The bunched odds reflect the razor-thin margins in these stylistic clashes—Bayern's attack vs. PSG's firepower, Arsenal's pressing vs. Atletico's defensive steel—with no clear favorite amid recent form parity and home advantages in legs.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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