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Sport·Calcio

Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?

icon for Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?
Sport·Calcio

Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?

AC Milan 40.1%

Liverpool 18%

Al-Hilal 10.0%

Arsenal 9.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

AC Milan 40.1%

Liverpool 18%

Al-Hilal 10.0%

Arsenal 9.3%

Polymarket
NUOVO

AC Milan

$2,984 Vol.

40%

Liverpool

$265 Vol.

18%

Al-Hilal

$470 Vol.

15%

Arsenal

$249 Vol.

21%

Barcelona

$323 Vol.

5%

Inter Milan

$218 Vol.

5%

Chelsea

$493 Vol.

5%

Paris Saint-Germain

$189 Vol.

4%

Manchester United

$735 Vol.

12%

Bayern Munich

$188 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan". If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Rafael Leão's future remains highly uncertain as the Portuguese winger has publicly signaled a desire to depart AC Milan despite his contract running to 2028, prompting the club to lower its asking price into the €50-60 million range. Multiple Premier League sides including Manchester United and Liverpool have made contact, while Saudi Pro League clubs like Al-Hilal and Turkish sides Galatasaray and Fenerbahce feature in reports, yet no formal bids have materialized. Barcelona interest has cooled without negotiations, leaving a wide field of plausible destinations reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities. This dynamic stems from Leão's strong recent form, the early stage of the summer window, and Milan's willingness to sell without a clear frontrunner emerging.

This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".

If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$6,114
Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-silver-ball-winner-20260603194459107-4ogPdiuFqx_Q.png

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan". If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan". If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.Rafael Leão's future remains highly uncertain as the Portuguese winger has publicly signaled a desire to depart AC Milan despite his contract running to 2028, prompting the club to lower its asking price into the €50-60 million range. Multiple Premier League sides including Manchester United and Liverpool have made contact, while Saudi Pro League clubs like Al-Hilal and Turkish sides Galatasaray and Fenerbahce feature in reports, yet no formal bids have materialized. Barcelona interest has cooled without negotiations, leaving a wide field of plausible destinations reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities. This dynamic stems from Leão's strong recent form, the early stage of the summer window, and Milan's willingness to sell without a clear frontrunner emerging.

This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan".

If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$6,114
Mercato aperto
Jun 15, 2026, 2:49 PM ET

Fonte di risoluzione

https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/world-cup-silver-ball-winner-20260603194459107-4ogPdiuFqx_Q.png

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next team Rafael Leao officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Rafael Leao does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "AC Milan". If Rafael Leao joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Rafael Leao is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from AC Milan and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

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Domande frequenti

"Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 10 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "AC Milan" a 40%, seguito da "Arsenal" a 21%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 40¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

"Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?" è un mercato appena creato su Polymarket, lanciato il Jun 15, 2026. Come mercato nuovo, questa è la tua opportunità di essere tra i primi trader a stabilire le quote e i segnali di prezzo iniziali del mercato. Puoi anche aggiungere questa pagina ai preferiti per monitorare il volume e l'attività di trading man mano che il mercato guadagna visibilità.

Per fare trading su "Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?", esplora i 10 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?" è "AC Milan" a 40%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 40% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Arsenal" a 21%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Dove si trasferirà Rafael Leao?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.