**Avengers: Doomsday holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening week, driven by record advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically 100 days before its December 18 release.** These figures, more than double those of prior MCU tentpoles like Deadpool & Wolverine, reflect strong holiday positioning and franchise anticipation for the Avengers-X-Men-Doctor Doom ensemble. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 39.5% after delivering a franchise-record July opening and surpassing $2 billion globally, establishing a high benchmark that Doomsday's pre-sales trajectory aims to eclipse. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register near-zero odds, limited by November timing and direct competition on the December 18 weekend, respectively, where split audiences could cap individual debuts despite solid franchise appeal. Upcoming marketing and final tracking updates remain key swing factors before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 59%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$167,979 Vol.
$167,979 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
59%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 59%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
Dune: Messiah <1%
$167,979 Vol.
$167,979 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$73,122 Vol.
59%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$61,921 Vol.
40%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$3,404 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,728 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening week, driven by record advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically 100 days before its December 18 release.** These figures, more than double those of prior MCU tentpoles like Deadpool & Wolverine, reflect strong holiday positioning and franchise anticipation for the Avengers-X-Men-Doctor Doom ensemble. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 39.5% after delivering a franchise-record July opening and surpassing $2 billion globally, establishing a high benchmark that Doomsday's pre-sales trajectory aims to eclipse. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register near-zero odds, limited by November timing and direct competition on the December 18 weekend, respectively, where split audiences could cap individual debuts despite solid franchise appeal. Upcoming marketing and final tracking updates remain key swing factors before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercato aperto: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Volume
$167,979Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Avengers: Doomsday holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening week, driven by record advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically 100 days before its December 18 release.** These figures, more than double those of prior MCU tentpoles like Deadpool & Wolverine, reflect strong holiday positioning and franchise anticipation for the Avengers-X-Men-Doctor Doom ensemble. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 39.5% after delivering a franchise-record July opening and surpassing $2 billion globally, establishing a high benchmark that Doomsday's pre-sales trajectory aims to eclipse. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register near-zero odds, limited by November timing and direct competition on the December 18 weekend, respectively, where split audiences could cap individual debuts despite solid franchise appeal. Upcoming marketing and final tracking updates remain key swing factors before year-end.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$167,979Data di fine
1 gen 2027Mercato aperto
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Avengers: Doomsday holds a narrow lead in trader consensus at 58.5% implied probability for the biggest 2026 opening week, driven by record advance ticket sales exceeding $50 million domestically 100 days before its December 18 release.** These figures, more than double those of prior MCU tentpoles like Deadpool & Wolverine, reflect strong holiday positioning and franchise anticipation for the Avengers-X-Men-Doctor Doom ensemble. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits at 39.5% after delivering a franchise-record July opening and surpassing $2 billion globally, establishing a high benchmark that Doomsday's pre-sales trajectory aims to eclipse. The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping and Dune: Messiah register near-zero odds, limited by November timing and direct competition on the December 18 weekend, respectively, where split audiences could cap individual debuts despite solid franchise appeal. Upcoming marketing and final tracking updates remain key swing factors before year-end.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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