Skip to main content

Per fare trading negli USA, vai su polymarket.us

icon for Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?

Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?

icon for Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?

Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?

più grande

secondo miglior

terzo miglior

più grande

secondo miglior

terzo miglior

Avengers: Doomsday 55%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

Dune: Messiah <1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%

Polymarket

$2,182,989 Vol.

Avengers: Doomsday 55%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day 40%

Dune: Messiah <1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%

Polymarket

$2,182,989 Vol.

Avengers: Doomsday

$345,011 Vol.

55%

Spider-Man: Brand New Day

$196,294 Vol.

40%

Dune: Messiah

$165,275 Vol.

<1%

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping

$74,839 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds the market lead at 54.5% implied probability due to its unprecedented $50 million in domestic pre-sales with 100 days remaining before its December 18 release, signaling exceptional advance demand for the MCU crossover featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close at 41% after posting a record $360 million domestic opening in July, the highest of 2026 so far, though its summer timing leaves room for a holiday tentpole to surpass it. Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail at 0.1% each, with the former locked into a same-weekend IMAX clash and the latter positioned for a strong but more modest November debut. Traders weigh Avengers' franchise ceiling and steady pre-sale momentum against Spider-Man's proven benchmark as the key swing factor heading into December.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,182,989
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday holds the market lead at 54.5% implied probability due to its unprecedented $50 million in domestic pre-sales with 100 days remaining before its December 18 release, signaling exceptional advance demand for the MCU crossover featuring Robert Downey Jr. as Doctor Doom. Spider-Man: Brand New Day sits close at 41% after posting a record $360 million domestic opening in July, the highest of 2026 so far, though its summer timing leaves room for a holiday tentpole to surpass it. Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping trail at 0.1% each, with the former locked into a same-weekend IMAX clash and the latter positioned for a strong but more modest November debut. Traders weigh Avengers' franchise ceiling and steady pre-sale momentum against Spider-Man's proven benchmark as the key swing factor heading into December.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.

If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.

If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekend Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its 3-day domestic opening weekend than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win. If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$2,182,989
Data di fine
1 gen 2027
Mercato aperto
Nov 12, 2025, 5:18 PM ET

Risolutore

0x2F5e3684c...

Correlati

icon for Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

95%
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?

62%
icon for Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

51%

Fai attenzione ai link esterni.

Domande frequenti

"Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 12 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Avengers: Doomsday" a 55%, seguito da "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" a 40%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 55¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?" ha generato $2.2 million in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Nov 12, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?", esplora i 12 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?" è "Avengers: Doomsday" a 55%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 55% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" a 40%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Quale film ha il più grande weekend di apertura nel 2026?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.