US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$198,364 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Donald Trump
No
J.D. Vance
Yes
Jared Kushner
Yes
Marco Rubio
No
Steve Witkoff
Yes
$198,364 Vol.
Donald Trump
$26,817 Vol.
No
J.D. Vance
$93,303 Vol.
Yes
Jared Kushner
$25,351 Vol.
Yes
Marco Rubio
$22,564 Vol.
No
Steve Witkoff
$30,329 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Volume
$198,364Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$198,364Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
May 26, 2026, 6:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
US-Iran diplomacy centers on a recently finalized memorandum of understanding that establishes a 60-day ceasefire extension, reopens the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, ends certain blockades, and launches technical talks on Iran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Reports indicate the framework was digitally advanced or agreed in mid-June, with an official signing ceremony scheduled for June 19 in Switzerland involving US representatives and Iranian officials, mediated in part by Pakistan and Oman. Prior indirect rounds occurred in Oman, Geneva, and Islamabad through 2025–2026, featuring US envoys such as Steve Witkoff alongside Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi and other delegates. Conflicting statements from Tehran on exact timing and scope, alongside broader regional issues including Lebanon hostilities, introduce procedural uncertainty ahead of the June 30 deadline. G7 discussions in France may provide additional momentum or clarity on next steps.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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