Carlos Alcaraz's recent withdrawal from the Barcelona Open due to a right wrist and forearm injury—sustained during his first-round win and deemed more serious than initially thought—has reinforced trader consensus heavily favoring "None" at 89.5% for a 2026 Calendar Grand Slam, as it clouds his French Open preparations starting late May on his strongest surface, clay. Though Alcaraz opened the year by capturing the Australian Open title over Novak Djokovic to complete his Career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever, the physical demands of conquering all four majors—hard court, clay, grass, and hard court again—in one season remain unprecedented since Rod Laver in 1969, amid fierce competition from Jannik Sinner and Djokovic. His 10.9% implied probability persists on youth, form, and surface versatility, but full recovery, injury-free run, and matchup dominance across slams would be required to challenge the overwhelming "None" position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato$239,905 Vol.
$239,905 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessuno
90%
Carlos Alcaraz
11%
$239,905 Vol.
$239,905 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Nessuno
$84,115 Vol.
90%
Carlos Alcaraz
$61,660 Vol.
11%
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz's recent withdrawal from the Barcelona Open due to a right wrist and forearm injury—sustained during his first-round win and deemed more serious than initially thought—has reinforced trader consensus heavily favoring "None" at 89.5% for a 2026 Calendar Grand Slam, as it clouds his French Open preparations starting late May on his strongest surface, clay. Though Alcaraz opened the year by capturing the Australian Open title over Novak Djokovic to complete his Career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever, the physical demands of conquering all four majors—hard court, clay, grass, and hard court again—in one season remain unprecedented since Rod Laver in 1969, amid fierce competition from Jannik Sinner and Djokovic. His 10.9% implied probability persists on youth, form, and surface versatility, but full recovery, injury-free run, and matchup dominance across slams would be required to challenge the overwhelming "None" position.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volume
$239,905Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz's recent withdrawal from the Barcelona Open due to a right wrist and forearm injury—sustained during his first-round win and deemed more serious than initially thought—has reinforced trader consensus heavily favoring "None" at 89.5% for a 2026 Calendar Grand Slam, as it clouds his French Open preparations starting late May on his strongest surface, clay. Though Alcaraz opened the year by capturing the Australian Open title over Novak Djokovic to complete his Career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever, the physical demands of conquering all four majors—hard court, clay, grass, and hard court again—in one season remain unprecedented since Rod Laver in 1969, amid fierce competition from Jannik Sinner and Djokovic. His 10.9% implied probability persists on youth, form, and surface versatility, but full recovery, injury-free run, and matchup dominance across slams would be required to challenge the overwhelming "None" position.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$239,905Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Carlos Alcaraz's recent withdrawal from the Barcelona Open due to a right wrist and forearm injury—sustained during his first-round win and deemed more serious than initially thought—has reinforced trader consensus heavily favoring "None" at 89.5% for a 2026 Calendar Grand Slam, as it clouds his French Open preparations starting late May on his strongest surface, clay. Though Alcaraz opened the year by capturing the Australian Open title over Novak Djokovic to complete his Career Grand Slam as the youngest man ever, the physical demands of conquering all four majors—hard court, clay, grass, and hard court again—in one season remain unprecedented since Rod Laver in 1969, amid fierce competition from Jannik Sinner and Djokovic. His 10.9% implied probability persists on youth, form, and surface versatility, but full recovery, injury-free run, and matchup dominance across slams would be required to challenge the overwhelming "None" position.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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