Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoJannik Sinner 52%
Carlos Alcaraz 23%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,460,354 Vol.
$4,460,354 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Carlos Alcaraz
23%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 52%
Carlos Alcaraz 23%
Alexander Zverev 7.4%
Novak Djokovic 3.8%
$4,460,354 Vol.
$4,460,354 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
52%
Carlos Alcaraz
23%
Alexander Zverev
7%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Daniil Medvedev
1%
Ben Shelton
1%
Taylor Fritz
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Arthur Fils
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Alexander Bublik
<1%
Lorenzo Musetti
<1%
Frances Tiafoe
<1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Hubert Hurkacz
<1%
Holger Rune
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open winner market at 40% implied probability due to his proven hard-court dominance, including multiple prior titles on the surface and consistent deep runs in recent majors, though his May French Open second-round exit from cramping and illness introduces some uncertainty ahead of the hard-court swing. Carlos Alcaraz sits second at 25% on the strength of his all-surface versatility and repeated Grand Slam final appearances against Sinner, positioning the pair as the clear frontrunners in trader consensus. Novak Djokovic at 5.5% reflects his enduring big-match experience and recent semifinal showings, tempered by age-related challenges in five-set battles against the top two. Lower-priced contenders like Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev, and Ben Shelton trail further due to inconsistent recent form, prior injury setbacks, and the established gap to the Sincaraz duopoly on outdoor hard courts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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