Trader consensus on Little Joe the 33-year-old silverback gorilla escaping again before July 31 sits at just 3 percent implied probability, driven by his advanced age curbing the agility that fueled his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout and by extensive enclosure upgrades plus 23 incident-free years since. The market launched amid viral memes framing his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding as a blockbuster sports trade, with traders seeing minimal risk during meticulous transport protocols and new-habitat adaptation. Strong security standards at accredited zoos further anchor the near-certain outcome. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to rare glitches like a transport vehicle malfunction or initial acclimation stress, though zoo expertise keeps those odds negligible ahead of the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLittle Joe scapperà di nuovo?
Little Joe scapperà di nuovo?
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
Sì
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 lug 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus on Little Joe the 33-year-old silverback gorilla escaping again before July 31 sits at just 3 percent implied probability, driven by his advanced age curbing the agility that fueled his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout and by extensive enclosure upgrades plus 23 incident-free years since. The market launched amid viral memes framing his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding as a blockbuster sports trade, with traders seeing minimal risk during meticulous transport protocols and new-habitat adaptation. Strong security standards at accredited zoos further anchor the near-certain outcome. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to rare glitches like a transport vehicle malfunction or initial acclimation stress, though zoo expertise keeps those odds negligible ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Mercato aperto: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$798Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus on Little Joe the 33-year-old silverback gorilla escaping again before July 31 sits at just 3 percent implied probability, driven by his advanced age curbing the agility that fueled his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout and by extensive enclosure upgrades plus 23 incident-free years since. The market launched amid viral memes framing his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding as a blockbuster sports trade, with traders seeing minimal risk during meticulous transport protocols and new-habitat adaptation. Strong security standards at accredited zoos further anchor the near-certain outcome. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to rare glitches like a transport vehicle malfunction or initial acclimation stress, though zoo expertise keeps those odds negligible ahead of the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volume
$798Data di fine
31 lug 2026Mercato aperto
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Little Joe the 33-year-old silverback gorilla escaping again before July 31 sits at just 3 percent implied probability, driven by his advanced age curbing the agility that fueled his 2003 Franklin Park Zoo breakout and by extensive enclosure upgrades plus 23 incident-free years since. The market launched amid viral memes framing his controlled transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo & Aquarium for breeding as a blockbuster sports trade, with traders seeing minimal risk during meticulous transport protocols and new-habitat adaptation. Strong security standards at accredited zoos further anchor the near-certain outcome. Realistic upset scenarios remain limited to rare glitches like a transport vehicle malfunction or initial acclimation stress, though zoo expertise keeps those odds negligible ahead of the deadline.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti