Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoL'RSF catturerà Khartoum entro il 30 giugno?
L'RSF catturerà Khartoum entro il 30 giugno?
Sì
$18,007 Vol.
$18,007 Vol.
30 giu 2026
Sì
$18,007 Vol.
$18,007 Vol.
30 giu 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Mercato aperto: Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ET
Volume
$18,007Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum (https://maps.app.goo.gl/7iTPsRRJEJf4Mrjb6) by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: https://maps.app.goo.gl/ZLUq7QjMi9L3CQcV7) by the resolution date.
If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
Volume
$18,007Data di fine
30 giu 2026Mercato aperto
Dec 23, 2025, 6:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) have maintained control of Khartoum since recapturing the capital in mid-2025, with the army-aligned government returning in January 2026 amid a military impasse that divides the country—SAF holding the east and center, Rapid Support Forces (RSF) dominating the west including most of Darfur. Recent fighting centers on peripheral fronts like Kordofan and Blue Nile, where RSF mobilizations and cross-border actions from Ethiopia have occurred, but no significant advances toward Khartoum have materialized in the past year. Trader consensus at 97.4% "No" reflects this entrenched stalemate and resource exhaustion after three years of civil war, leaving scant time for RSF to mount a decisive offensive by June 30. Potential shifts could arise from escalated military aid, leadership changes, or diplomatic breakthroughs, though historical patterns favor continued deadlock.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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