Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, scheduled travel, or preparatory diplomacy for a Pyongyang trip amid just two weeks remaining. Recent developments, including China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi's April 9-10 Pyongyang visit to facilitate US-North Korea dialogue ahead of a potential Trump-Xi Jinping summit in Beijing, have fueled speculation of renewed summits—echoing Trump's past neutral-venue meetings with Kim Jong Un in Singapore, Hanoi, and the DMZ—but underscore preferences for third-country sites over entering North Korean territory. North Korea's deepened Russia ties and hostile stance toward South Korea add barriers, with no US president ever visiting Pyongyang due to security and protocol challenges. A sudden Kim invitation and rapid logistical pivot could theoretically shift odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given entrenched geopolitical frictions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSì
$121,142 Vol.
$121,142 Vol.
30 apr 2026
Sì
$121,142 Vol.
$121,142 Vol.
30 apr 2026
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, scheduled travel, or preparatory diplomacy for a Pyongyang trip amid just two weeks remaining. Recent developments, including China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi's April 9-10 Pyongyang visit to facilitate US-North Korea dialogue ahead of a potential Trump-Xi Jinping summit in Beijing, have fueled speculation of renewed summits—echoing Trump's past neutral-venue meetings with Kim Jong Un in Singapore, Hanoi, and the DMZ—but underscore preferences for third-country sites over entering North Korean territory. North Korea's deepened Russia ties and hostile stance toward South Korea add barriers, with no US president ever visiting Pyongyang due to security and protocol challenges. A sudden Kim invitation and rapid logistical pivot could theoretically shift odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given entrenched geopolitical frictions.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercato aperto: Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ET
Volume
$121,142Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, scheduled travel, or preparatory diplomacy for a Pyongyang trip amid just two weeks remaining. Recent developments, including China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi's April 9-10 Pyongyang visit to facilitate US-North Korea dialogue ahead of a potential Trump-Xi Jinping summit in Beijing, have fueled speculation of renewed summits—echoing Trump's past neutral-venue meetings with Kim Jong Un in Singapore, Hanoi, and the DMZ—but underscore preferences for third-country sites over entering North Korean territory. North Korea's deepened Russia ties and hostile stance toward South Korea add barriers, with no US president ever visiting Pyongyang due to security and protocol challenges. A sudden Kim invitation and rapid logistical pivot could theoretically shift odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given entrenched geopolitical frictions.
If Donald J. Trump visits North Korea by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of North Korea. Whether or not Trump enters North Korean airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Trump, information released by his verified social media accounts, and official information from North Korea; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$121,142Data di fine
30 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Feb 16, 2026, 3:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors "No" at 99.3% implied probability for President Donald Trump visiting North Korea by April 30, driven by the absence of any official announcements, scheduled travel, or preparatory diplomacy for a Pyongyang trip amid just two weeks remaining. Recent developments, including China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi's April 9-10 Pyongyang visit to facilitate US-North Korea dialogue ahead of a potential Trump-Xi Jinping summit in Beijing, have fueled speculation of renewed summits—echoing Trump's past neutral-venue meetings with Kim Jong Un in Singapore, Hanoi, and the DMZ—but underscore preferences for third-country sites over entering North Korean territory. North Korea's deepened Russia ties and hostile stance toward South Korea add barriers, with no US president ever visiting Pyongyang due to security and protocol challenges. A sudden Kim invitation and rapid logistical pivot could theoretically shift odds, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given entrenched geopolitical frictions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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