Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party as general secretary, with no scheduled leadership transition or removal mechanism before the 21st Party Congress in 2027. Recent military purges and personnel shifts reflect his ongoing consolidation of authority rather than challenges to it, while he continues to direct policy on the 15th Five-Year Plan, economic priorities, and diplomatic engagements. Traders assign over 99 percent probability to his retention through June 30 because structural barriers, loyalist appointments, and the absence of visible elite opposition or health disclosures make abrupt change highly improbable. Low-probability disruptions such as a sudden medical event or unforeseen internal power struggle could still alter the outcome before the deadline.