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icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
テクノロジー·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

icon for #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?
テクノロジー·App Store

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?

Ended: 5月 8

7月 31

Ended: 5月 8

7月 31

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$6,722 Vol.

Claude by Anthropic 100.0%

ChatGPT <1%

Google Gemini <1%

Google <1%

Polymarket

$6,722 Vol.

icon for ChatGPT

ChatGPT

$862 Vol.

No

icon for Google Gemini

Google Gemini

$515 Vol.

No

icon for Claude by Anthropic

Claude by Anthropic

$1,562 Vol.

Yes

icon for Google

Google

$515 Vol.

No

icon for Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses

$616 Vol.

No

icon for ALO

ALO

$737 Vol.

No

icon for CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

$727 Vol.

No

icon for Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

$477 Vol.

No

icon for Netflix Game Controller

Netflix Game Controller

$710 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus gives Anthropic's Claude a 100% implied probability of holding the #2 spot among free iPhone apps in the US Apple App Store on May 8, 2026, as live charts confirm it trails only OpenAI's ChatGPT amid a tight race among AI assistants like Google Gemini. This strong positioning builds on Claude's viral surge earlier this year, fueled by publicity from the Pentagon's rejection of ChatGPT for security-sensitive contracts—elevating user adoption of Anthropic's large language model for productivity, coding, and creative tasks. Sustained daily active users and recent app updates have locked in its rank, with competitors like Temu or CapCut showing minimal threat. Volatility remains possible from flash promotions or download spikes, but current stability suggests few realistic challengers before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$6,722
終了日
2026/05/08
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).Trader consensus gives Anthropic's Claude a 100% implied probability of holding the #2 spot among free iPhone apps in the US Apple App Store on May 8, 2026, as live charts confirm it trails only OpenAI's ChatGPT amid a tight race among AI assistants like Google Gemini. This strong positioning builds on Claude's viral surge earlier this year, fueled by publicity from the Pentagon's rejection of ChatGPT for security-sensitive contracts—elevating user adoption of Anthropic's large language model for productivity, coding, and creative tasks. Sustained daily active users and recent app updates have locked in its rank, with competitors like Temu or CapCut showing minimal threat. Volatility remains possible from flash promotions or download spikes, but current stability suggests few realistic challengers before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date.

To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
音量
$6,722
終了日
2026/05/08
マーケット開始日
May 5, 2026, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

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よくある質問

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?」はPolymarket上の9個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Claude by Anthropic」で100%、次いで「ChatGPT」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 5, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている9個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?」の現在のフロントランナーは「Claude by Anthropic」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「ChatGPT」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 8?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。