Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$265-$270 28%
$270-$275 28%
$275-$280 22%
$260-$265 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/24
<$240
10%
$240-$245
6%
$245-$250
9%
$250-$255
9%
$255-$260
10%
$260-$265
16%
$265-$270
28%
$270-$275
28%
$275-$280
22%
$280-$285
10%
>$285
12%
$265-$270 28%
$270-$275 28%
$275-$280 22%
$260-$265 16%
新規
新規
2026/04/24
<$240
$0 Vol.
10%
$240-$245
$0 Vol.
6%
$245-$250
$0 Vol.
9%
$250-$255
$0 Vol.
9%
$255-$260
$0 Vol.
10%
$260-$265
$0 Vol.
16%
$265-$270
$0 Vol.
28%
$270-$275
$0 Vol.
28%
$275-$280
$0 Vol.
22%
$280-$285
$0 Vol.
10%
>$285
$0 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$0終了日
2026/04/24マーケット開始日
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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