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icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners

CA-19 Primary Winners

$13,043 Vol.

2026/06/02
Polymarket

$13,043 Vol.

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$8,626 Vol.

99%

Peter Verbica

$1,175 Vol.

66%

Sean Dougherty

$148 Vol.

27%

Tuka Gafari

$1,162 Vol.

11%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$352 Vol.

3%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Vol.

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,525 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$13,043
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position ahead of California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, backed by substantial fundraising leads and established voter recognition in a district Democrats have controlled for years. The six-candidate field includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Peter Verbica and Tuka Gafari, plus independent and Libertarian entrants, which fragments opposition votes under the state's primary rules. No major late developments such as significant endorsements, polling shifts, or controversies have altered the race in recent weeks. The June primary will determine the two candidates advancing to the November general election, with procedural factors like ballot order and turnout patterns in coastal and Central Coast areas likely to influence final margins.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$13,043
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CA-19 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jimmy Panetta」で99%、次いで「Peter Verbica」が66%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、99¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に99%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「CA-19 Primary Winners」は$13Kの総取引量を生み出しています(May 27, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jimmy Panetta」で99%であり、市場がこの結果に99%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Peter Verbica」で66%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。