California's 18th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its voter demographics and consistent election results, positioning the Democratic nominee—incumbent Zoe Lofgren or primary challenger—as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in a primary field featuring only one GOP candidate alongside multiple Democratic entrants ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments, such as major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in redistricting, that would alter the balance. A significant national political realignment, unexpected primary upset producing a weaker general-election Democrat, or late-cycle events like health concerns could still introduce uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,238 Vol.
$35,238 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
4%
$35,238 Vol.
$35,238 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,690 Vol.
94%
共和党
$18,548 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 18th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its voter demographics and consistent election results, positioning the Democratic nominee—incumbent Zoe Lofgren or primary challenger—as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in a primary field featuring only one GOP candidate alongside multiple Democratic entrants ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments, such as major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in redistricting, that would alter the balance. A significant national political realignment, unexpected primary upset producing a weaker general-election Democrat, or late-cycle events like health concerns could still introduce uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$35,238終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 18th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its voter demographics and consistent election results, positioning the Democratic nominee—incumbent Zoe Lofgren or primary challenger—as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in a primary field featuring only one GOP candidate alongside multiple Democratic entrants ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments, such as major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in redistricting, that would alter the balance. A significant national political realignment, unexpected primary upset producing a weaker general-election Democrat, or late-cycle events like health concerns could still introduce uncertainty before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,238終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 18th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean rooted in its voter demographics and consistent election results, positioning the Democratic nominee—incumbent Zoe Lofgren or primary challenger—as the clear frontrunner for the November 2026 general election. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting limited Republican viability in a primary field featuring only one GOP candidate alongside multiple Democratic entrants ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of recent developments, such as major scandals, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in redistricting, that would alter the balance. A significant national political realignment, unexpected primary upset producing a weaker general-election Democrat, or late-cycle events like health concerns could still introduce uncertainty before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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