**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$35,241 Vol.
$35,241 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$35,241 Vol.
$35,241 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$6,297 Vol.
95%
共和党
$28,944 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$35,241終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$35,241終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu’s strong performance in the June 2026 top-two primary, where he captured roughly 61% of the vote and advanced alongside Republican Houston Brignano, underscores the commanding position reflected in trader consensus.** California’s 36th district, located entirely within Los Angeles County, carries a pronounced Democratic lean consistent with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections, all classifying it as Solid or Safe Democratic. Lieu’s established incumbency, fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive Republican challengers or major polling shifts have reinforced expectations of a Democratic hold in the November general election. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited to late-breaking developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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