Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent of the primary vote in March 2026 and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Partisan Voter Index around R+12 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Babin's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's Southeast Texas composition of rural counties and suburban Houston areas underpin trader consensus around a 92.5 percent Republican win probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$28,150 Vol.
$28,150 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
93%
民主党
8%
$28,150 Vol.
$28,150 Vol.
2026/11/02
共和党
$8,247 Vol.
93%
民主党
$19,903 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent of the primary vote in March 2026 and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Partisan Voter Index around R+12 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Babin's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's Southeast Texas composition of rural counties and suburban Houston areas underpin trader consensus around a 92.5 percent Republican win probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$28,150終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent of the primary vote in March 2026 and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Partisan Voter Index around R+12 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Babin's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's Southeast Texas composition of rural counties and suburban Houston areas underpin trader consensus around a 92.5 percent Republican win probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$28,150終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Babin secured his party's nomination with over 81 percent of the primary vote in March 2026 and faces Democrat Rhonda Hart in the November general election for Texas's 36th congressional district. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting its Partisan Voter Index around R+12 and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and statewide contests. Babin's long tenure, fundraising edge, and the district's Southeast Texas composition of rural counties and suburban Houston areas underpin trader consensus around a 92.5 percent Republican win probability. A late scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could narrow the outcome, though no such developments have emerged in recent months.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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