The redrawn boundaries of Texas’ 35th Congressional District, which shifted the seat toward greater Republican lean while creating an open contest after the incumbent moved to another district, have produced closely matched odds between the parties. Both sides advanced to May 26 primary runoffs after no candidate cleared 50 percent in the March vote, leaving voters to choose between Democratic contenders Maureen Galindo and Johnny Garcia and Republican options Carlos De La Cruz and John Lujan. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with the narrow edge for Democrats tied to strong turnout potential in the San Antonio area and the possibility that nominee strength or national conditions could still widen or reverse the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
42%
民主党
57%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
共和党
$763 Vol.
42%
民主党
$1,616 Vol.
57%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Texas’ 35th Congressional District, which shifted the seat toward greater Republican lean while creating an open contest after the incumbent moved to another district, have produced closely matched odds between the parties. Both sides advanced to May 26 primary runoffs after no candidate cleared 50 percent in the March vote, leaving voters to choose between Democratic contenders Maureen Galindo and Johnny Garcia and Republican options Carlos De La Cruz and John Lujan. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with the narrow edge for Democrats tied to strong turnout potential in the San Antonio area and the possibility that nominee strength or national conditions could still widen or reverse the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$2,379終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn boundaries of Texas’ 35th Congressional District, which shifted the seat toward greater Republican lean while creating an open contest after the incumbent moved to another district, have produced closely matched odds between the parties. Both sides advanced to May 26 primary runoffs after no candidate cleared 50 percent in the March vote, leaving voters to choose between Democratic contenders Maureen Galindo and Johnny Garcia and Republican options Carlos De La Cruz and John Lujan. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with the narrow edge for Democrats tied to strong turnout potential in the San Antonio area and the possibility that nominee strength or national conditions could still widen or reverse the gap before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,379終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The redrawn boundaries of Texas’ 35th Congressional District, which shifted the seat toward greater Republican lean while creating an open contest after the incumbent moved to another district, have produced closely matched odds between the parties. Both sides advanced to May 26 primary runoffs after no candidate cleared 50 percent in the March vote, leaving voters to choose between Democratic contenders Maureen Galindo and Johnny Garcia and Republican options Carlos De La Cruz and John Lujan. Trader consensus reflects the resulting uncertainty, with the narrow edge for Democrats tied to strong turnout potential in the San Antonio area and the possibility that nominee strength or national conditions could still widen or reverse the gap before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問