Washington’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preference in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall, who won the seat in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 4 top-two primary, with Republican Teresa Fox among the declared challengers. The district’s geographic and demographic makeup, spanning the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus parts of Tacoma, has produced reliable Democratic margins that underpin the current trader consensus. A national political shift of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen primary surprise would be required to alter the general-election trajectory before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日民主党
95%
共和党
6%
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington’s 6th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+10 and has been rated Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preference in recent cycles. Incumbent Democrat Emily Randall, who won the seat in 2024, faces limited opposition in the August 4 top-two primary, with Republican Teresa Fox among the declared challengers. The district’s geographic and demographic makeup, spanning the Olympic and Kitsap peninsulas plus parts of Tacoma, has produced reliable Democratic margins that underpin the current trader consensus. A national political shift of unusual magnitude or an unforeseen primary surprise would be required to alter the general-election trajectory before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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