Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 83.9% victory margin in 2024. With the filing deadline passed and the August primary and November general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic hold aligns with consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the district, combined with the area's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the wide margin. A major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the outlook, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$4,398 Vol.
95%
共和党
$5,542 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 83.9% victory margin in 2024. With the filing deadline passed and the August primary and November general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic hold aligns with consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the district, combined with the area's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the wide margin. A major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the outlook, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$9,939終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 83.9% victory margin in 2024. With the filing deadline passed and the August primary and November general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic hold aligns with consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the district, combined with the area's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the wide margin. A major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the outlook, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,939終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+39 Partisan Voter Index and the incumbent's 83.9% victory margin in 2024. With the filing deadline passed and the August primary and November general election still ahead, trader consensus on a Democratic hold aligns with consistent "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Limited Republican recruitment and fundraising in the district, combined with the area's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles, underpin the wide margin. A major scandal affecting the incumbent or an unprecedented national partisan shift could alter the outlook, though such developments remain uncommon in this environment.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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