Washington's 7th congressional district, anchored in Seattle, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Nirav Sheth advanced with roughly 11 percent. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders' overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, historical margins exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,341 Vol.
$32,341 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
3%
$32,341 Vol.
$32,341 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$10,384 Vol.
94%
共和党
$21,957 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, anchored in Seattle, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Nirav Sheth advanced with roughly 11 percent. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders' overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, historical margins exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
音量
$32,341終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, anchored in Seattle, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Nirav Sheth advanced with roughly 11 percent. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders' overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, historical margins exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,341終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 7th congressional district, anchored in Seattle, has long favored Democratic candidates due to its urban demographics and voting patterns. Incumbent Pramila Jayapal secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4, 2026, primary with over 83 percent of the vote against limited intra-party opposition, while Republican Nirav Sheth advanced with roughly 11 percent. Cook Political Report rates the seat as solidly Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders' overwhelming consensus for the Democratic nominee reflects this structural advantage, historical margins exceeding 80 percent in recent cycles, and the absence of competitive polling or major developments that would alter the balance. A significant scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unforeseen national shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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