Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダニエル・ビス（民主党）
95%
ジョン・エレソン（共和党）
5%
$31,625 Vol.
$31,625 Vol.
2026/11/02
ダニエル・ビス（民主党）
$17,371 Vol.
95%
ジョン・エレソン（共和党）
$14,254 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$31,625終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$31,625終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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