The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$23,266 Vol.
$23,266 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
$23,266 Vol.
$23,266 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$16,765 Vol.
94%
共和党
$6,502 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$23,266終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$23,266終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 9th congressional district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and uninterrupted Democratic control since 1949, anchors trader consensus on a Democratic general election victory. Incumbent Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the seat, but Daniel Biss's March 17, 2026, primary win over a crowded field positions a experienced local official as nominee against Republican John Elleson. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles. A national partisan swing, major candidate scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout could theoretically narrow the margin, though structural barriers make such shifts improbable before November 3.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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