Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with about 76 percent of the vote and will face Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. The race carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the district's consistent lean toward Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive developments since the primaries. A national Republican wave or unexpected local shift could narrow the margin, though the district's voting patterns and incumbent fundraising edge present significant barriers to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,052 Vol.
$32,052 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$32,052 Vol.
$32,052 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$11,925 Vol.
95%
共和党
$20,127 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with about 76 percent of the vote and will face Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. The race carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the district's consistent lean toward Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive developments since the primaries. A national Republican wave or unexpected local shift could narrow the margin, though the district's voting patterns and incumbent fundraising edge present significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
音量
$32,052終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with about 76 percent of the vote and will face Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. The race carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the district's consistent lean toward Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive developments since the primaries. A national Republican wave or unexpected local shift could narrow the margin, though the district's voting patterns and incumbent fundraising edge present significant barriers to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,052終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sean Casten secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with about 76 percent of the vote and will face Republican nominee Niki Conforti in the November general election for Illinois's 6th congressional district. The race carries a D+3 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from outlets including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting the district's consistent lean toward Democrats in recent cycles. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive developments since the primaries. A national Republican wave or unexpected local shift could narrow the margin, though the district's voting patterns and incumbent fundraising edge present significant barriers to an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問