Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County communities including Irvine, Laguna Beach, and Aliso Viejo. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds the seat following his prior victory, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. Voter registration and historical patterns reinforce this lean, producing the current trader consensus on the outcome. A substantial national Republican surge or unforeseen primary dynamics would represent the primary paths to any meaningful shift before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
93%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$811 Vol.
93%
共和党
$3,119 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County communities including Irvine, Laguna Beach, and Aliso Viejo. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds the seat following his prior victory, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. Voter registration and historical patterns reinforce this lean, producing the current trader consensus on the outcome. A substantial national Republican surge or unforeseen primary dynamics would represent the primary paths to any meaningful shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$3,930終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County communities including Irvine, Laguna Beach, and Aliso Viejo. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds the seat following his prior victory, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. Voter registration and historical patterns reinforce this lean, producing the current trader consensus on the outcome. A substantial national Republican surge or unforeseen primary dynamics would represent the primary paths to any meaningful shift before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-47 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$3,930終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 has transformed California's 47th Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat, with the area supporting Kamala Harris by roughly ten points in the 2024 presidential vote across Orange County communities including Irvine, Laguna Beach, and Aliso Viejo. Incumbent Democrat Dave Min holds the seat following his prior victory, and nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report and similar forecasters classify the race as safe or solid Democratic ahead of the June primary. Voter registration and historical patterns reinforce this lean, producing the current trader consensus on the outcome. A substantial national Republican surge or unforeseen primary dynamics would represent the primary paths to any meaningful shift before November.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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