**Republican majorities in Congress create a structural barrier to removal before 2027.** An impeachment resolution introduced on August 24, 2026, was referred to the House Judiciary Committee with no realistic path to floor consideration or Senate conviction. Democratic calls to invoke the 25th Amendment over health and cognitive concerns have gained no traction in a GOP-controlled body. Public scrutiny of the 80-year-old president's health—including recent Walter Reed visits, leg swelling, hand bruising, and reports of dozing during events—has persisted, but the White House continues to describe him as being in excellent health with perfect cognitive scores. No verified developments indicate resignation or sustained Cabinet action that would trigger removal by year-end. Traders price the low probability of exit accordingly, reflecting the institutional and partisan hurdles rather than any guarantee of completion.