Recent inflation data, including elevated PCE and CPI readings driven by energy price spikes from Middle East developments and tariff effects, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold its federal funds rate target steady at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.3% and modest job gains, alongside resilient economic growth, further support the consensus for no change at 74.5%. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reflect caution amid upside inflation risks, reducing probabilities for a 25 basis point cut or hike. Markets price in limited scope for aggressive moves absent clearer disinflation signals before the meeting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 75%
25 bps increase 12%
25 bps decrease 9%
50+ bps decrease 1.6%
$66,754 Vol.
$66,754 Vol.
2026/09/16
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
9%
No change
75%
25 bps increase
12%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 75%
25 bps increase 12%
25 bps decrease 9%
50+ bps decrease 1.6%
$66,754 Vol.
$66,754 Vol.
2026/09/16
50+ bps decrease
$10,027 Vol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$14,267 Vol.
9%
No change
$16,731 Vol.
75%
25 bps increase
$15,232 Vol.
12%
50+ bps increase
$10,497 Vol.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data, including elevated PCE and CPI readings driven by energy price spikes from Middle East developments and tariff effects, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold its federal funds rate target steady at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.3% and modest job gains, alongside resilient economic growth, further support the consensus for no change at 74.5%. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reflect caution amid upside inflation risks, reducing probabilities for a 25 basis point cut or hike. Markets price in limited scope for aggressive moves absent clearer disinflation signals before the meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$66,754終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent inflation data, including elevated PCE and CPI readings driven by energy price spikes from Middle East developments and tariff effects, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold its federal funds rate target steady at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.3% and modest job gains, alongside resilient economic growth, further support the consensus for no change at 74.5%. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reflect caution amid upside inflation risks, reducing probabilities for a 25 basis point cut or hike. Markets price in limited scope for aggressive moves absent clearer disinflation signals before the meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$66,754終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent inflation data, including elevated PCE and CPI readings driven by energy price spikes from Middle East developments and tariff effects, have reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will hold its federal funds rate target steady at the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Stable labor market conditions, with unemployment near 4.3% and modest job gains, alongside resilient economic growth, further support the consensus for no change at 74.5%. Recent FOMC minutes and dot plot projections reflect caution amid upside inflation risks, reducing probabilities for a 25 basis point cut or hike. Markets price in limited scope for aggressive moves absent clearer disinflation signals before the meeting.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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