Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$149,348 Vol.
2026/12/09
6月会合
1%
7月会合
9%
9月会合
15%
10月会合
28%
$149,348 Vol.
6月会合
$15,287 Vol.
1%
7月会合
$1,102 Vol.
9%
9月会合
$165 Vol.
15%
10月会合
$1,485 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
音量
$149,348終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$149,348終了日
2026/10/29マーケット開始日
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected inflation readings have shifted trader sentiment toward the possibility of a Federal Reserve rate hike later in 2026, with CME FedWatch now pricing roughly a 51% chance by December and about 60% by the January 2027 FOMC meeting. The benchmark federal funds rate has remained steady in the 3.50%–3.75% range following the April decision amid resilient consumer spending and persistent price pressures. Incoming Chair Kevin Warsh faces a policy dilemma as markets weigh whether the central bank will pivot from its recent pause to modest tightening. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting and fresh CPI and employment data that could further influence rate-path expectations and Treasury yields.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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