Fed policymakers maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% at both the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings amid elevated inflation pressures tied to energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions. June's decision passed unanimously, while July's 9-3 vote featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting growing internal focus on returning inflation to the 2% goal under Chair Kevin Warsh. Solid economic growth, stable labor markets, and rising oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations that "Other" sequences involving at least one rate increase dominate pricing at 88% implied probability. With the September 15-16 meeting underway and markets now assigning high odds to a quarter-point hike, the low probabilities on repeated pauses or cuts align with recent data showing core CPI reacceleration and limited scope for easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Other 88%
Pause–Pause–Pause 12%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$871,834 Vol.
$871,834 Vol.
2026/09/15
Pause–Pause–Pause
12%
Pause–Pause–Cut
<1%
Other
88%
Other 88%
Pause–Pause–Pause 12%
Pause–Pause–Cut <1%
$871,834 Vol.
$871,834 Vol.
2026/09/15
Pause–Pause–Pause
$337,891 Vol.
12%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$103,115 Vol.
<1%
Other
$374,951 Vol.
88%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmFed policymakers maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% at both the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings amid elevated inflation pressures tied to energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions. June's decision passed unanimously, while July's 9-3 vote featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting growing internal focus on returning inflation to the 2% goal under Chair Kevin Warsh. Solid economic growth, stable labor markets, and rising oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations that "Other" sequences involving at least one rate increase dominate pricing at 88% implied probability. With the September 15-16 meeting underway and markets now assigning high odds to a quarter-point hike, the low probabilities on repeated pauses or cuts align with recent data showing core CPI reacceleration and limited scope for easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
音量
$871,834終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmFed policymakers maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% at both the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings amid elevated inflation pressures tied to energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions. June's decision passed unanimously, while July's 9-3 vote featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting growing internal focus on returning inflation to the 2% goal under Chair Kevin Warsh. Solid economic growth, stable labor markets, and rising oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations that "Other" sequences involving at least one rate increase dominate pricing at 88% implied probability. With the September 15-16 meeting underway and markets now assigning high odds to a quarter-point hike, the low probabilities on repeated pauses or cuts align with recent data showing core CPI reacceleration and limited scope for easing.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
音量
$871,834終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Fed policymakers maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%-3.75% at both the June and July 2026 FOMC meetings amid elevated inflation pressures tied to energy supply shocks and Middle East tensions. June's decision passed unanimously, while July's 9-3 vote featured three dissents favoring a 25-basis-point hike, reflecting growing internal focus on returning inflation to the 2% goal under Chair Kevin Warsh. Solid economic growth, stable labor markets, and rising oil prices above $100 have reinforced trader expectations that "Other" sequences involving at least one rate increase dominate pricing at 88% implied probability. With the September 15-16 meeting underway and markets now assigning high odds to a quarter-point hike, the low probabilities on repeated pauses or cuts align with recent data showing core CPI reacceleration and limited scope for easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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