Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, anchoring market-implied odds on early departure. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, he remained on the Board—breaking with recent precedent—to shield institutional independence amid prior Trump administration pressure, including a now-closed DOJ probe into headquarters renovations. Powell conditioned any exit on full resolution of those matters with transparency. With Kevin Warsh confirmed as chair and the Fed’s policy path focused on inflation and labor data, no statutory or political catalyst has emerged to force Powell’s resignation before term end. Traders monitor FOMC communications and administration statements for shifts in this dynamic.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$447,782 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
12%
$447,782 Vol.
12月31日
$161,191 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, anchoring market-implied odds on early departure. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, he remained on the Board—breaking with recent precedent—to shield institutional independence amid prior Trump administration pressure, including a now-closed DOJ probe into headquarters renovations. Powell conditioned any exit on full resolution of those matters with transparency. With Kevin Warsh confirmed as chair and the Fed’s policy path focused on inflation and labor data, no statutory or political catalyst has emerged to force Powell’s resignation before term end. Traders monitor FOMC communications and administration statements for shifts in this dynamic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$447,782終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, anchoring market-implied odds on early departure. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, he remained on the Board—breaking with recent precedent—to shield institutional independence amid prior Trump administration pressure, including a now-closed DOJ probe into headquarters renovations. Powell conditioned any exit on full resolution of those matters with transparency. With Kevin Warsh confirmed as chair and the Fed’s policy path focused on inflation and labor data, no statutory or political catalyst has emerged to force Powell’s resignation before term end. Traders monitor FOMC communications and administration statements for shifts in this dynamic.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$447,782終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s 14-year term as a Federal Reserve governor extends through January 2028, anchoring market-implied odds on early departure. After stepping down as chair in May 2026, he remained on the Board—breaking with recent precedent—to shield institutional independence amid prior Trump administration pressure, including a now-closed DOJ probe into headquarters renovations. Powell conditioned any exit on full resolution of those matters with transparency. With Kevin Warsh confirmed as chair and the Fed’s policy path focused on inflation and labor data, no statutory or political catalyst has emerged to force Powell’s resignation before term end. Traders monitor FOMC communications and administration statements for shifts in this dynamic.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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