Jerome Powell’s term as Fed governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly stated he will remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined” pending resolution of an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and amid legal challenges he says threaten institutional independence. Traders weigh the risk of accelerated departure against statutory protections for governors, potential political pressure from the administration, and any negotiated exit tied to the probe’s outcome. Upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the investigation timeline and any administration statements on Board composition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these dynamics rather than certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$421,796 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
32%
$421,796 Vol.
12月31日
$135,210 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Fed governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly stated he will remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined” pending resolution of an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and amid legal challenges he says threaten institutional independence. Traders weigh the risk of accelerated departure against statutory protections for governors, potential political pressure from the administration, and any negotiated exit tied to the probe’s outcome. Upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the investigation timeline and any administration statements on Board composition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these dynamics rather than certainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$421,796終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Fed governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly stated he will remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined” pending resolution of an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and amid legal challenges he says threaten institutional independence. Traders weigh the risk of accelerated departure against statutory protections for governors, potential political pressure from the administration, and any negotiated exit tied to the probe’s outcome. Upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the investigation timeline and any administration statements on Board composition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these dynamics rather than certainty.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$421,796終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Fed governor runs until January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Powell has publicly stated he will remain on the Board “for a period of time to be determined” pending resolution of an investigation into the Fed’s headquarters construction project and amid legal challenges he says threaten institutional independence. Traders weigh the risk of accelerated departure against statutory protections for governors, potential political pressure from the administration, and any negotiated exit tied to the probe’s outcome. Upcoming catalysts include further clarity on the investigation timeline and any administration statements on Board composition. Market-implied odds reflect skin-in-the-game consensus on these dynamics rather than certainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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