Powell's governor term on the Federal Reserve Board extends through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment in related markets reflects uncertainty over an early exit driven by ongoing political pressures from the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence, and Powell's linkage of continued service to resolution of the DOJ investigation into headquarters renovations. Recent June 2026 statements underscore institutional risks, while near-term catalysts include any probe updates, FOMC communications under Warsh, and potential resignation timelines that could shift implied probabilities around 2026–2027 departures versus holding closer to term end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$421,806 Vol.
12月31日
36%
$421,806 Vol.
12月31日
36%
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Powell's governor term on the Federal Reserve Board extends through January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship on May 15, 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. Trader sentiment in related markets reflects uncertainty over an early exit driven by ongoing political pressures from the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence, and Powell's linkage of continued service to resolution of the DOJ investigation into headquarters renovations. Recent June 2026 statements underscore institutional risks, while near-term catalysts include any probe updates, FOMC communications under Warsh, and potential resignation timelines that could shift implied probabilities around 2026–2027 departures versus holding closer to term end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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