Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, but his separate 14-year governor term runs until January 2028, creating the core uncertainty around any near-term exit from the Board. Powell has publicly stated he intends to remain until an ongoing inspector general investigation into the Fed’s headquarters renovation project reaches full resolution, citing the need to defend institutional independence amid political and legal pressures. Federal law limits removal of governors to cases of cause, limiting the scope for abrupt change outside voluntary resignation or completion of that probe. Traders are monitoring statements from Powell, updates on the investigation timeline, and any signals from the new chair Kevin Warsh or administration officials for shifts in the probability of an earlier departure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$421,832 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
36%
$421,832 Vol.
12月31日
$135,240 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, but his separate 14-year governor term runs until January 2028, creating the core uncertainty around any near-term exit from the Board. Powell has publicly stated he intends to remain until an ongoing inspector general investigation into the Fed’s headquarters renovation project reaches full resolution, citing the need to defend institutional independence amid political and legal pressures. Federal law limits removal of governors to cases of cause, limiting the scope for abrupt change outside voluntary resignation or completion of that probe. Traders are monitoring statements from Powell, updates on the investigation timeline, and any signals from the new chair Kevin Warsh or administration officials for shifts in the probability of an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$421,832終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, but his separate 14-year governor term runs until January 2028, creating the core uncertainty around any near-term exit from the Board. Powell has publicly stated he intends to remain until an ongoing inspector general investigation into the Fed’s headquarters renovation project reaches full resolution, citing the need to defend institutional independence amid political and legal pressures. Federal law limits removal of governors to cases of cause, limiting the scope for abrupt change outside voluntary resignation or completion of that probe. Traders are monitoring statements from Powell, updates on the investigation timeline, and any signals from the new chair Kevin Warsh or administration officials for shifts in the probability of an earlier departure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$421,832終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, but his separate 14-year governor term runs until January 2028, creating the core uncertainty around any near-term exit from the Board. Powell has publicly stated he intends to remain until an ongoing inspector general investigation into the Fed’s headquarters renovation project reaches full resolution, citing the need to defend institutional independence amid political and legal pressures. Federal law limits removal of governors to cases of cause, limiting the scope for abrupt change outside voluntary resignation or completion of that probe. Traders are monitoring statements from Powell, updates on the investigation timeline, and any signals from the new chair Kevin Warsh or administration officials for shifts in the probability of an earlier departure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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