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icon for ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？
政治·FED

ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？

icon for ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？
政治·FED

ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？

$421,202 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$421,202 Vol.

Polymarket

12月31日

$134,610 Vol.

38%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair ended May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed and sworn in shortly thereafter, yet Powell retains his Board governor seat through January 2028. Trader sentiment on his full departure by late 2026 centers on ongoing political friction with the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence and an unresolved headquarters construction investigation that Powell has cited as reasons for remaining. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether these pressures or a potential resignation will accelerate his exit before year-end, versus his stated intent to stay until matters reach “transparency and finality.” Key upcoming catalysts include any DOJ or congressional resolutions and administration signals on Board appointments, which could shift rate expectations and Treasury yields if leadership turnover accelerates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$421,202
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s term as Federal Reserve Chair ended May 15, 2026, with Kevin Warsh confirmed and sworn in shortly thereafter, yet Powell retains his Board governor seat through January 2028. Trader sentiment on his full departure by late 2026 centers on ongoing political friction with the Trump administration, including legal challenges to Fed independence and an unresolved headquarters construction investigation that Powell has cited as reasons for remaining. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over whether these pressures or a potential resignation will accelerate his exit before year-end, versus his stated intent to stay until matters reach “transparency and finality.” Key upcoming catalysts include any DOJ or congressional resolutions and administration signals on Board appointments, which could shift rate expectations and Treasury yields if leadership turnover accelerates.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$421,202
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

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よくある質問

「ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で38%、次いで「5月30日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、38¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に38%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？」は$421.2Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jan 5, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で38%であり、市場がこの結果に38%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「5月30日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ジェローム・パウエルがフェデラル・ボードから離脱するのは… ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。