Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor extends to January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. He has publicly stated he will remain on the Board until an inspector general investigation into headquarters renovation costs concludes with full transparency, framing his tenure as a safeguard for institutional independence amid Trump administration legal challenges. Traders weigh statutory "for cause" removal protections against political pressure, with market-implied odds reflecting the low near-term probability of voluntary exit or successful ouster given the ongoing probe and Powell's commitments. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and any resolution of the renovation inquiry, which could shift sentiment on his departure timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$433,270 Vol.
2026/12/31
12月31日
28%
$433,270 Vol.
12月31日
$146,679 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor extends to January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. He has publicly stated he will remain on the Board until an inspector general investigation into headquarters renovation costs concludes with full transparency, framing his tenure as a safeguard for institutional independence amid Trump administration legal challenges. Traders weigh statutory "for cause" removal protections against political pressure, with market-implied odds reflecting the low near-term probability of voluntary exit or successful ouster given the ongoing probe and Powell's commitments. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and any resolution of the renovation inquiry, which could shift sentiment on his departure timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
マーケット開始日： Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
音量
$433,270終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor extends to January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. He has publicly stated he will remain on the Board until an inspector general investigation into headquarters renovation costs concludes with full transparency, framing his tenure as a safeguard for institutional independence amid Trump administration legal challenges. Traders weigh statutory "for cause" removal protections against political pressure, with market-implied odds reflecting the low near-term probability of voluntary exit or successful ouster given the ongoing probe and Powell's commitments. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and any resolution of the renovation inquiry, which could shift sentiment on his departure timeline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
音量
$433,270終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor extends to January 31, 2028, following the end of his chairmanship in May 2026, when Kevin Warsh assumed the role. He has publicly stated he will remain on the Board until an inspector general investigation into headquarters renovation costs concludes with full transparency, framing his tenure as a safeguard for institutional independence amid Trump administration legal challenges. Traders weigh statutory "for cause" removal protections against political pressure, with market-implied odds reflecting the low near-term probability of voluntary exit or successful ouster given the ongoing probe and Powell's commitments. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings and any resolution of the renovation inquiry, which could shift sentiment on his departure timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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