Strong US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. May 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, while April CPI held elevated at 3.8% year-over-year amid higher energy prices from Middle East developments. The FOMC has kept the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since early 2026, with March projections and recent communications signaling at most one 25-basis-point adjustment this year, if any. Forecasters including Goldman Sachs now see the next move in 2027. A major adverse shock to growth or financial stability could still alter this path, but current conditions favor steady policy through scheduled meetings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. May 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, while April CPI held elevated at 3.8% year-over-year amid higher energy prices from Middle East developments. The FOMC has kept the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since early 2026, with March projections and recent communications signaling at most one 25-basis-point adjustment this year, if any. Forecasters including Goldman Sachs now see the next move in 2027. A major adverse shock to growth or financial stability could still alter this path, but current conditions favor steady policy through scheduled meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,526終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Strong US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. May 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, while April CPI held elevated at 3.8% year-over-year amid higher energy prices from Middle East developments. The FOMC has kept the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since early 2026, with March projections and recent communications signaling at most one 25-basis-point adjustment this year, if any. Forecasters including Goldman Sachs now see the next move in 2027. A major adverse shock to growth or financial stability could still alter this path, but current conditions favor steady policy through scheduled meetings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,526終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Strong US economic data and the Federal Reserve’s data-dependent stance underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency rate cut before 2027. May 2026 nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with the unemployment rate steady at 4.3%, while April CPI held elevated at 3.8% year-over-year amid higher energy prices from Middle East developments. The FOMC has kept the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75% since early 2026, with March projections and recent communications signaling at most one 25-basis-point adjustment this year, if any. Forecasters including Goldman Sachs now see the next move in 2027. A major adverse shock to growth or financial stability could still alter this path, but current conditions favor steady policy through scheduled meetings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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