The 91.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and steady monetary policy stance, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% through recent FOMC meetings amid above-target inflation and solid labor market conditions. Traders price limited near-term risks of acute shocks that would necessitate an unscheduled move outside the regular calendar, consistent with futures markets showing no cuts through 2026 and only gradual easing possible in 2027. Recent data releases and Fed communications have reinforced this baseline, though a sharp deterioration in growth or a major external event could still alter the path. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 offers limited scope for shifts in this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The 91.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and steady monetary policy stance, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% through recent FOMC meetings amid above-target inflation and solid labor market conditions. Traders price limited near-term risks of acute shocks that would necessitate an unscheduled move outside the regular calendar, consistent with futures markets showing no cuts through 2026 and only gradual easing possible in 2027. Recent data releases and Fed communications have reinforced this baseline, though a sharp deterioration in growth or a major external event could still alter the path. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 offers limited scope for shifts in this outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,526終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The 91.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and steady monetary policy stance, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% through recent FOMC meetings amid above-target inflation and solid labor market conditions. Traders price limited near-term risks of acute shocks that would necessitate an unscheduled move outside the regular calendar, consistent with futures markets showing no cuts through 2026 and only gradual easing possible in 2027. Recent data releases and Fed communications have reinforced this baseline, though a sharp deterioration in growth or a major external event could still alter the path. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 offers limited scope for shifts in this outlook.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,526終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 91.5% market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027 reflect a resilient U.S. economy and steady monetary policy stance, with the federal funds rate held at 3.50%-3.75% through recent FOMC meetings amid above-target inflation and solid labor market conditions. Traders price limited near-term risks of acute shocks that would necessitate an unscheduled move outside the regular calendar, consistent with futures markets showing no cuts through 2026 and only gradual easing possible in 2027. Recent data releases and Fed communications have reinforced this baseline, though a sharp deterioration in growth or a major external event could still alter the path. The next FOMC meeting on June 16-17 offers limited scope for shifts in this outlook.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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