The robust U.S. labor market and contained inflation trajectory underpin the 92.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. June 2026 data show unemployment near 4% and core PCE trending toward the 2% target, allowing the FOMC to maintain its measured policy stance without crisis-driven intervention. Traders price in a gradual rate path aligned with official guidance, reflecting the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals. While a sudden banking shock, sharp geopolitical escalation, or unexpected growth collapse could force action, current conditions favor continuity through at least 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,631 Vol.
$105,631 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The robust U.S. labor market and contained inflation trajectory underpin the 92.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. June 2026 data show unemployment near 4% and core PCE trending toward the 2% target, allowing the FOMC to maintain its measured policy stance without crisis-driven intervention. Traders price in a gradual rate path aligned with official guidance, reflecting the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals. While a sudden banking shock, sharp geopolitical escalation, or unexpected growth collapse could force action, current conditions favor continuity through at least 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,631終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.The robust U.S. labor market and contained inflation trajectory underpin the 92.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. June 2026 data show unemployment near 4% and core PCE trending toward the 2% target, allowing the FOMC to maintain its measured policy stance without crisis-driven intervention. Traders price in a gradual rate path aligned with official guidance, reflecting the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals. While a sudden banking shock, sharp geopolitical escalation, or unexpected growth collapse could force action, current conditions favor continuity through at least 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,631終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The robust U.S. labor market and contained inflation trajectory underpin the 92.5% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. June 2026 data show unemployment near 4% and core PCE trending toward the 2% target, allowing the FOMC to maintain its measured policy stance without crisis-driven intervention. Traders price in a gradual rate path aligned with official guidance, reflecting the absence of acute financial stress or recession signals. While a sudden banking shock, sharp geopolitical escalation, or unexpected growth collapse could force action, current conditions favor continuity through at least 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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