Persistent inflation and a resilient labor market underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. May 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 4.2% year-over-year amid a 23.5% energy price surge tied to geopolitical tensions, while unemployment held at 4.3% with solid payroll gains. This has reinforced trader consensus for holding the 3.50%-3.75% target range steady through year-end, consistent with economist surveys and futures pricing that now point to any easing only in 2027. An unexpected recession or sharp deterioration in financial conditions could still prompt intermeeting action, though current data and the June FOMC outlook limit that scope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,639 Vol.
$105,639 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,639 Vol.
$105,639 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation and a resilient labor market underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. May 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 4.2% year-over-year amid a 23.5% energy price surge tied to geopolitical tensions, while unemployment held at 4.3% with solid payroll gains. This has reinforced trader consensus for holding the 3.50%-3.75% target range steady through year-end, consistent with economist surveys and futures pricing that now point to any easing only in 2027. An unexpected recession or sharp deterioration in financial conditions could still prompt intermeeting action, though current data and the June FOMC outlook limit that scope.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,639終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation and a resilient labor market underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. May 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 4.2% year-over-year amid a 23.5% energy price surge tied to geopolitical tensions, while unemployment held at 4.3% with solid payroll gains. This has reinforced trader consensus for holding the 3.50%-3.75% target range steady through year-end, consistent with economist surveys and futures pricing that now point to any easing only in 2027. An unexpected recession or sharp deterioration in financial conditions could still prompt intermeeting action, though current data and the June FOMC outlook limit that scope.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,639終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation and a resilient labor market underpin the 90.5% market-implied probability against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. May 2026 CPI data showed headline inflation accelerating to 4.2% year-over-year amid a 23.5% energy price surge tied to geopolitical tensions, while unemployment held at 4.3% with solid payroll gains. This has reinforced trader consensus for holding the 3.50%-3.75% target range steady through year-end, consistent with economist surveys and futures pricing that now point to any easing only in 2027. An unexpected recession or sharp deterioration in financial conditions could still prompt intermeeting action, though current data and the June FOMC outlook limit that scope.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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