Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 headline CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by energy prices and core at 2.8%, combined with a resilient labor market showing May nonfarm payrolls up 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3%, anchors trader sentiment against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. Markets currently price the policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting the data-dependent stance and limited scope for intermeeting action absent a sharp deterioration. The May CPI release on June 10 and updated projections could reinforce this path, though a severe labor market weakening or major financial shock remain realistic scenarios that could still prompt emergency easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$105,526 Vol.
$105,526 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 headline CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by energy prices and core at 2.8%, combined with a resilient labor market showing May nonfarm payrolls up 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3%, anchors trader sentiment against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. Markets currently price the policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting the data-dependent stance and limited scope for intermeeting action absent a sharp deterioration. The May CPI release on June 10 and updated projections could reinforce this path, though a severe labor market weakening or major financial shock remain realistic scenarios that could still prompt emergency easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
音量
$105,526終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 headline CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by energy prices and core at 2.8%, combined with a resilient labor market showing May nonfarm payrolls up 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3%, anchors trader sentiment against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. Markets currently price the policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting the data-dependent stance and limited scope for intermeeting action absent a sharp deterioration. The May CPI release on June 10 and updated projections could reinforce this path, though a severe labor market weakening or major financial shock remain realistic scenarios that could still prompt emergency easing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
音量
$105,526終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, with April 2026 headline CPI at 3.8% year-over-year driven by energy prices and core at 2.8%, combined with a resilient labor market showing May nonfarm payrolls up 172,000 and unemployment at 4.3%, anchors trader sentiment against an emergency federal funds rate cut before 2027. Markets currently price the policy rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% through the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting the data-dependent stance and limited scope for intermeeting action absent a sharp deterioration. The May CPI release on June 10 and updated projections could reinforce this path, though a severe labor market weakening or major financial shock remain realistic scenarios that could still prompt emergency easing.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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