Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly constraints on Strait of Hormuz transit from the U.S.-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver supporting crude prices near $82–85 per barrel for WTI and $87–92 for Brent as of mid-August 2026. These disruptions have reduced global shipments by roughly 20% at peak, triggering inventory draws below five-year averages and elevating spot levels despite softer Asian demand. EIA data project Brent averaging around $85 per barrel in Q3 before easing toward $69 by 2027 as production recovers, while J.P. Morgan forecasts similar moderation after recent volatility. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ output signals, and any diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows, with the all-time high of $147 from July 2008 remaining distant amid these supply-demand dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$2,511,184 Vol.
2026/09/30
September 30
3%
December 31
12%
$2,511,184 Vol.
September 30
$1,004,787 Vol.
3%
December 31
$715,468 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly constraints on Strait of Hormuz transit from the U.S.-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver supporting crude prices near $82–85 per barrel for WTI and $87–92 for Brent as of mid-August 2026. These disruptions have reduced global shipments by roughly 20% at peak, triggering inventory draws below five-year averages and elevating spot levels despite softer Asian demand. EIA data project Brent averaging around $85 per barrel in Q3 before easing toward $69 by 2027 as production recovers, while J.P. Morgan forecasts similar moderation after recent volatility. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ output signals, and any diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows, with the all-time high of $147 from July 2008 remaining distant amid these supply-demand dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
マーケット開始日： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
音量
$2,511,184終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly constraints on Strait of Hormuz transit from the U.S.-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver supporting crude prices near $82–85 per barrel for WTI and $87–92 for Brent as of mid-August 2026. These disruptions have reduced global shipments by roughly 20% at peak, triggering inventory draws below five-year averages and elevating spot levels despite softer Asian demand. EIA data project Brent averaging around $85 per barrel in Q3 before easing toward $69 by 2027 as production recovers, while J.P. Morgan forecasts similar moderation after recent volatility. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ output signals, and any diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows, with the all-time high of $147 from July 2008 remaining distant amid these supply-demand dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
音量
$2,511,184終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly constraints on Strait of Hormuz transit from the U.S.-Iran conflict, remain the dominant driver supporting crude prices near $82–85 per barrel for WTI and $87–92 for Brent as of mid-August 2026. These disruptions have reduced global shipments by roughly 20% at peak, triggering inventory draws below five-year averages and elevating spot levels despite softer Asian demand. EIA data project Brent averaging around $85 per barrel in Q3 before easing toward $69 by 2027 as production recovers, while J.P. Morgan forecasts similar moderation after recent volatility. Traders monitor weekly EIA inventory releases, OPEC+ output signals, and any diplomatic progress on Hormuz flows, with the all-time high of $147 from July 2008 remaining distant amid these supply-demand dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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