Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and tariffs, alongside a resilient labor market with strong May jobs gains and elevated producer prices, have shifted trader consensus toward the 60% implied probability of a federal funds rate hike in 2026. Markets now price in at least one increase by year-end after earlier cut expectations faded, with futures reflecting this path versus the Fed's 3.50%-3.75% target range. The June FOMC meeting under new leadership and updated dot plot may further clarify whether officials tilt toward hikes to anchor inflation above the 2% target, while upcoming data releases on prices and employment remain key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$2,193,838 Vol.
$2,193,838 Vol.
2026/12/09
はい
$2,193,838 Vol.
$2,193,838 Vol.
2026/12/09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and tariffs, alongside a resilient labor market with strong May jobs gains and elevated producer prices, have shifted trader consensus toward the 60% implied probability of a federal funds rate hike in 2026. Markets now price in at least one increase by year-end after earlier cut expectations faded, with futures reflecting this path versus the Fed's 3.50%-3.75% target range. The June FOMC meeting under new leadership and updated dot plot may further clarify whether officials tilt toward hikes to anchor inflation above the 2% target, while upcoming data releases on prices and employment remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$2,193,838終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and tariffs, alongside a resilient labor market with strong May jobs gains and elevated producer prices, have shifted trader consensus toward the 60% implied probability of a federal funds rate hike in 2026. Markets now price in at least one increase by year-end after earlier cut expectations faded, with futures reflecting this path versus the Fed's 3.50%-3.75% target range. The June FOMC meeting under new leadership and updated dot plot may further clarify whether officials tilt toward hikes to anchor inflation above the 2% target, while upcoming data releases on prices and employment remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,194,438終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures from Middle East energy shocks and tariffs, alongside a resilient labor market with strong May jobs gains and elevated producer prices, have shifted trader consensus toward the 60% implied probability of a federal funds rate hike in 2026. Markets now price in at least one increase by year-end after earlier cut expectations faded, with futures reflecting this path versus the Fed's 3.50%-3.75% target range. The June FOMC meeting under new leadership and updated dot plot may further clarify whether officials tilt toward hikes to anchor inflation above the 2% target, while upcoming data releases on prices and employment remain key swing factors.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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