Stronger-than-expected U.S. labor market data, including robust May payroll gains and a stable unemployment rate near 4.3%, combined with persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have anchored trader expectations that the federal funds rate will hold in the current 3.50%-3.75% range through 2026. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a base case of steady policy amid balanced risks to the dual mandate, while market-implied odds for hikes remain below 40% for the year. Key near-term catalysts include the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment releases, and any updated dot plot projections that could refine the rate path versus historical pauses during similar inflation-labor dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,882,751 Vol.
$1,882,751 Vol.
2026/12/09
はい
$1,882,751 Vol.
$1,882,751 Vol.
2026/12/09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stronger-than-expected U.S. labor market data, including robust May payroll gains and a stable unemployment rate near 4.3%, combined with persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have anchored trader expectations that the federal funds rate will hold in the current 3.50%-3.75% range through 2026. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a base case of steady policy amid balanced risks to the dual mandate, while market-implied odds for hikes remain below 40% for the year. Key near-term catalysts include the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment releases, and any updated dot plot projections that could refine the rate path versus historical pauses during similar inflation-labor dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$1,882,751終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Stronger-than-expected U.S. labor market data, including robust May payroll gains and a stable unemployment rate near 4.3%, combined with persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have anchored trader expectations that the federal funds rate will hold in the current 3.50%-3.75% range through 2026. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a base case of steady policy amid balanced risks to the dual mandate, while market-implied odds for hikes remain below 40% for the year. Key near-term catalysts include the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment releases, and any updated dot plot projections that could refine the rate path versus historical pauses during similar inflation-labor dynamics.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,917,616終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Stronger-than-expected U.S. labor market data, including robust May payroll gains and a stable unemployment rate near 4.3%, combined with persistent inflation above the Fed’s 2% target driven by energy prices and tariff effects, have anchored trader expectations that the federal funds rate will hold in the current 3.50%-3.75% range through 2026. Recent FOMC communications and economist surveys reflect a base case of steady policy amid balanced risks to the dual mandate, while market-implied odds for hikes remain below 40% for the year. Key near-term catalysts include the June 17-18 FOMC meeting, June CPI and employment releases, and any updated dot plot projections that could refine the rate path versus historical pauses during similar inflation-labor dynamics.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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