Elevated inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data including a strong May jobs report, have anchored market-implied odds at 64.5% against a 2026 rate hike. Persistent price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions and a robust economy have prompted economists to widely forecast an unchanged 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate through year-end, outweighing futures signals of modest late-year tightening risk. With the FOMC’s June 16-17 meeting and new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision ahead, trader consensus reflects caution that any hike would require sustained upside surprises in CPI or payrolls to shift the current restrictive stance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$2,027,608 Vol.
$2,027,608 Vol.
2026/12/09
はい
$2,027,608 Vol.
$2,027,608 Vol.
2026/12/09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data including a strong May jobs report, have anchored market-implied odds at 64.5% against a 2026 rate hike. Persistent price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions and a robust economy have prompted economists to widely forecast an unchanged 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate through year-end, outweighing futures signals of modest late-year tightening risk. With the FOMC’s June 16-17 meeting and new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision ahead, trader consensus reflects caution that any hike would require sustained upside surprises in CPI or payrolls to shift the current restrictive stance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$2,027,608終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Elevated inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data including a strong May jobs report, have anchored market-implied odds at 64.5% against a 2026 rate hike. Persistent price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions and a robust economy have prompted economists to widely forecast an unchanged 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate through year-end, outweighing futures signals of modest late-year tightening risk. With the FOMC’s June 16-17 meeting and new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision ahead, trader consensus reflects caution that any hike would require sustained upside surprises in CPI or payrolls to shift the current restrictive stance.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$2,027,657終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elevated inflation readings above the Fed’s 2% target, combined with resilient labor market data including a strong May jobs report, have anchored market-implied odds at 64.5% against a 2026 rate hike. Persistent price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions and a robust economy have prompted economists to widely forecast an unchanged 3.50%-3.75% federal funds rate through year-end, outweighing futures signals of modest late-year tightening risk. With the FOMC’s June 16-17 meeting and new Chair Kevin Warsh’s first policy decision ahead, trader consensus reflects caution that any hike would require sustained upside surprises in CPI or payrolls to shift the current restrictive stance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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