Persistent inflation pressures, fueled by geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with strong May 2026 job gains have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75% target range, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of no rate hike through year-end. Futures markets price only a modest path toward 3.8% by late 2026, reflecting limited conviction for tightening despite the new Fed chair's hawkish tilt and the FOMC's median projection of just one cut. Upcoming June and July FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and employment releases, remain key catalysts that could shift consensus if price pressures accelerate or growth falters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$1,917,624 Vol.
$1,917,624 Vol.
2026/12/09
はい
$1,917,624 Vol.
$1,917,624 Vol.
2026/12/09
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures, fueled by geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with strong May 2026 job gains have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75% target range, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of no rate hike through year-end. Futures markets price only a modest path toward 3.8% by late 2026, reflecting limited conviction for tightening despite the new Fed chair's hawkish tilt and the FOMC's median projection of just one cut. Upcoming June and July FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and employment releases, remain key catalysts that could shift consensus if price pressures accelerate or growth falters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
音量
$1,917,624終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation pressures, fueled by geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with strong May 2026 job gains have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75% target range, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of no rate hike through year-end. Futures markets price only a modest path toward 3.8% by late 2026, reflecting limited conviction for tightening despite the new Fed chair's hawkish tilt and the FOMC's median projection of just one cut. Upcoming June and July FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and employment releases, remain key catalysts that could shift consensus if price pressures accelerate or growth falters.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$1,917,624終了日
2026/12/09マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, fueled by geopolitical tensions, and a resilient labor market with strong May 2026 job gains have anchored the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75% target range, supporting the 63.5% market-implied probability of no rate hike through year-end. Futures markets price only a modest path toward 3.8% by late 2026, reflecting limited conviction for tightening despite the new Fed chair's hawkish tilt and the FOMC's median projection of just one cut. Upcoming June and July FOMC decisions, alongside fresh CPI and employment releases, remain key catalysts that could shift consensus if price pressures accelerate or growth falters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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