The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.71 percent amid stable conditions, reflects the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance of holding the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75 percent range with limited near-term easing priced in. Persistent inflation data, resilient labor market readings, and elevated Treasury issuance continue to anchor longer-term rates, while futures markets point to gradual policy normalization only into 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment reports that could shift rate expectations and compress or expand the yield’s downside range before year-end 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$225,354 Vol.
2026/12/30
3.9%
14%
3.8％
4%
3.7%
2%
3.6％
5%
3.5%
1%
3.0%
2%
2.0％
4%
1.0%
2%
$225,354 Vol.
3.9%
$44,197 Vol.
14%
3.8％
$41,312 Vol.
4%
3.7%
$27,383 Vol.
2%
3.6％
$5,587 Vol.
5%
3.5%
$33,065 Vol.
1%
3.0%
$917 Vol.
2%
2.0％
$564 Vol.
4%
1.0%
$40,570 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.71 percent amid stable conditions, reflects the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance of holding the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75 percent range with limited near-term easing priced in. Persistent inflation data, resilient labor market readings, and elevated Treasury issuance continue to anchor longer-term rates, while futures markets point to gradual policy normalization only into 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment reports that could shift rate expectations and compress or expand the yield’s downside range before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
マーケット開始日： Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
音量
$225,354終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.71 percent amid stable conditions, reflects the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance of holding the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75 percent range with limited near-term easing priced in. Persistent inflation data, resilient labor market readings, and elevated Treasury issuance continue to anchor longer-term rates, while futures markets point to gradual policy normalization only into 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment reports that could shift rate expectations and compress or expand the yield’s downside range before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
音量
$225,354終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield, recently trading near 4.71 percent amid stable conditions, reflects the Federal Reserve’s current policy stance of holding the federal funds rate in the 3.50–3.75 percent range with limited near-term easing priced in. Persistent inflation data, resilient labor market readings, and elevated Treasury issuance continue to anchor longer-term rates, while futures markets point to gradual policy normalization only into 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include FOMC meetings, CPI releases, and employment reports that could shift rate expectations and compress or expand the yield’s downside range before year-end 2026.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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