Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI—has anchored trader consensus that the Claude developer will reach public markets first. Its recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, coupled with rapid revenue growth from large language model deployments, signals stronger operational readiness and underwriter momentum with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI’s June 8 filing and explicit statement that timing remains undecided and “may be a while” reinforce perceptions of a longer path. Analysts now project Anthropic listings as early as late 2026 versus OpenAI potentially slipping into 2027, with the SEC review timeline and execution complexity serving as the decisive swing factors for the 75.5% market-implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Anthropic
$160,419 Vol.
$160,419 Vol.
2027/12/31
Anthropic
$160,419 Vol.
$160,419 Vol.
2027/12/31
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI—has anchored trader consensus that the Claude developer will reach public markets first. Its recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, coupled with rapid revenue growth from large language model deployments, signals stronger operational readiness and underwriter momentum with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI’s June 8 filing and explicit statement that timing remains undecided and “may be a while” reinforce perceptions of a longer path. Analysts now project Anthropic listings as early as late 2026 versus OpenAI potentially slipping into 2027, with the SEC review timeline and execution complexity serving as the decisive swing factors for the 75.5% market-implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
音量
$160,419終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI—has anchored trader consensus that the Claude developer will reach public markets first. Its recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, coupled with rapid revenue growth from large language model deployments, signals stronger operational readiness and underwriter momentum with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI’s June 8 filing and explicit statement that timing remains undecided and “may be a while” reinforce perceptions of a longer path. Analysts now project Anthropic listings as early as late 2026 versus OpenAI potentially slipping into 2027, with the SEC review timeline and execution complexity serving as the decisive swing factors for the 75.5% market-implied probability.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$160,419終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s confidential S-1 filing on June 1, 2026—one week ahead of OpenAI—has anchored trader consensus that the Claude developer will reach public markets first. Its recent $65 billion funding round at a $965 billion valuation, coupled with rapid revenue growth from large language model deployments, signals stronger operational readiness and underwriter momentum with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. OpenAI’s June 8 filing and explicit statement that timing remains undecided and “may be a while” reinforce perceptions of a longer path. Analysts now project Anthropic listings as early as late 2026 versus OpenAI potentially slipping into 2027, with the SEC review timeline and execution complexity serving as the decisive swing factors for the 75.5% market-implied probability.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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