Strong trader consensus around a 1.8T+ closing market cap (73.5% implied probability) reflects Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory and sustained investor appetite for leading AI labs. The company’s annualized revenue run-rate surpassed $65 billion in mid-2026, up more than sevenfold from late 2025, while its May Series H round set a $965 billion private valuation. A confidential S-1 filing in June and reports of investor targets exceeding $2 trillion for a potential fall 2026 debut reinforce expectations that 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion could support premium multiples at listing. Competitive positioning ahead of rivals and high demand for AI exposure further anchor the elevated odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.8T+ 74%
1.5–1.8T 14.1%
1.2–1.5T 5.8%
0.9–1.2T 3.4%
$342,203 Vol.
$342,203 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
6%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
74%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
1.8T+ 74%
1.5–1.8T 14.1%
1.2–1.5T 5.8%
0.9–1.2T 3.4%
$342,203 Vol.
$342,203 Vol.
<0.6T
1%
0.6–0.9T
1%
0.9–1.2T
3%
1.2–1.5T
6%
1.5–1.8T
14%
1.8T+
74%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日: Apr 30, 2026, 3:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong trader consensus around a 1.8T+ closing market cap (73.5% implied probability) reflects Anthropic’s explosive revenue trajectory and sustained investor appetite for leading AI labs. The company’s annualized revenue run-rate surpassed $65 billion in mid-2026, up more than sevenfold from late 2025, while its May Series H round set a $965 billion private valuation. A confidential S-1 filing in June and reports of investor targets exceeding $2 trillion for a potential fall 2026 debut reinforce expectations that 2028 revenue forecasts near $190–200 billion could support premium multiples at listing. Competitive positioning ahead of rivals and high demand for AI exposure further anchor the elevated odds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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