OpenAI's revenue run rate has surged past $40 billion annualized following GPT-5.6 and Astra launches, with Q2 2026 revenue at $6.7 billion, underpinning trader consensus around mid-teens implied probabilities for $1.25T–$1.5T and adjacent IPO valuation buckets. Pre-IPO funding talks at $1.2T–$1.5T valuations, after the March $852 billion round, reflect growth momentum in enterprise subscriptions and coding tools, yet persistent operating losses and heavy compute spending introduce downside risk below $1T. The shift to a 2027 listing, driven by AI safety priorities and caution after comparable floats, gives time for further scaling before public pricing, while competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader market multiples on high-growth tech add volatility to outcomes above $2T.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.25T–$1.5T 23.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
<$1T 17.0%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.0%
$207,530 Vol.
$207,530 Vol.
2027/12/31
<$1T
17%
$1.0T–$1.25T
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
24%
$1.5T–$1.75T
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
5%
$2.5T+
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T 23.5%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
<$1T 17.0%
$1.5T–$1.75T 17.0%
$207,530 Vol.
$207,530 Vol.
2027/12/31
<$1T
$50,022 Vol.
17%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$27,024 Vol.
10%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$11,516 Vol.
24%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$14,399 Vol.
17%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$32,796 Vol.
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,970 Vol.
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,727 Vol.
5%
$2.5T+
$60,075 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's revenue run rate has surged past $40 billion annualized following GPT-5.6 and Astra launches, with Q2 2026 revenue at $6.7 billion, underpinning trader consensus around mid-teens implied probabilities for $1.25T–$1.5T and adjacent IPO valuation buckets. Pre-IPO funding talks at $1.2T–$1.5T valuations, after the March $852 billion round, reflect growth momentum in enterprise subscriptions and coding tools, yet persistent operating losses and heavy compute spending introduce downside risk below $1T. The shift to a 2027 listing, driven by AI safety priorities and caution after comparable floats, gives time for further scaling before public pricing, while competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader market multiples on high-growth tech add volatility to outcomes above $2T.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$207,530終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's revenue run rate has surged past $40 billion annualized following GPT-5.6 and Astra launches, with Q2 2026 revenue at $6.7 billion, underpinning trader consensus around mid-teens implied probabilities for $1.25T–$1.5T and adjacent IPO valuation buckets. Pre-IPO funding talks at $1.2T–$1.5T valuations, after the March $852 billion round, reflect growth momentum in enterprise subscriptions and coding tools, yet persistent operating losses and heavy compute spending introduce downside risk below $1T. The shift to a 2027 listing, driven by AI safety priorities and caution after comparable floats, gives time for further scaling before public pricing, while competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader market multiples on high-growth tech add volatility to outcomes above $2T.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$207,530終了日
2028/01/01マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47de9d...OpenAI's revenue run rate has surged past $40 billion annualized following GPT-5.6 and Astra launches, with Q2 2026 revenue at $6.7 billion, underpinning trader consensus around mid-teens implied probabilities for $1.25T–$1.5T and adjacent IPO valuation buckets. Pre-IPO funding talks at $1.2T–$1.5T valuations, after the March $852 billion round, reflect growth momentum in enterprise subscriptions and coding tools, yet persistent operating losses and heavy compute spending introduce downside risk below $1T. The shift to a 2027 listing, driven by AI safety priorities and caution after comparable floats, gives time for further scaling before public pricing, while competitive pressure from Anthropic and broader market multiples on high-growth tech add volatility to outcomes above $2T.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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