OpenAI's most recent private funding round in March 2026 established an $852 billion post-money valuation amid rapid revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly, though the company continues posting substantial operating losses. Trader consensus reflected in the Polymarket odds centers on a $1.25–1.75 trillion IPO range, driven by expectations of a significant listing premium, sustained AI demand, and Sam Altman's reported push for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Recent reports indicate OpenAI has hired advisers and is weighing a late-2026 confidential filing versus deferral into 2027, creating uncertainty around timing and market conditions. Key swing factors include execution on profitability, regulatory scrutiny of AI models, competitive positioning against rivals, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth tech listings, with the spread of probabilities underscoring the sensitivity of valuation multiples to these variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1.25T–$1.5T 26.9%
$1.5T–$1.75T 22.4%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
9%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
22%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
3%
$1.25T–$1.5T 26.9%
$1.5T–$1.75T 22.4%
$1.75T–$2.0T 12%
$2.25T–$2.5T 11%
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
9%
$1.25T–$1.5T
27%
$1.5T–$1.75T
22%
$1.75T–$2.0T
12%
$2.0T–$2.25T
8%
$2.25T–$2.5T
11%
$2.5T+
3%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's most recent private funding round in March 2026 established an $852 billion post-money valuation amid rapid revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly, though the company continues posting substantial operating losses. Trader consensus reflected in the Polymarket odds centers on a $1.25–1.75 trillion IPO range, driven by expectations of a significant listing premium, sustained AI demand, and Sam Altman's reported push for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Recent reports indicate OpenAI has hired advisers and is weighing a late-2026 confidential filing versus deferral into 2027, creating uncertainty around timing and market conditions. Key swing factors include execution on profitability, regulatory scrutiny of AI models, competitive positioning against rivals, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth tech listings, with the spread of probabilities underscoring the sensitivity of valuation multiples to these variables.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日

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