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icon for OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?

OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?

icon for OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?

OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?

$1.25T–$1.5T 26.9%

$1.5T–$1.75T 22.4%

$1.75T–$2.0T 12%

$2.25T–$2.5T 11%

Polymarket
新規

$1.25T–$1.5T 26.9%

$1.5T–$1.75T 22.4%

$1.75T–$2.0T 12%

$2.25T–$2.5T 11%

Polymarket
新規

<$1T

$762 Vol.

7%

$1.0T–$1.25T

$129 Vol.

9%

$1.25T–$1.5T

$529 Vol.

27%

$1.5T–$1.75T

$329 Vol.

22%

$1.75T–$2.0T

$2,025 Vol.

12%

$2.0T–$2.25T

$549 Vol.

8%

$2.25T–$2.5T

$134 Vol.

11%

$2.5T+

$1,563 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's most recent private funding round in March 2026 established an $852 billion post-money valuation amid rapid revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly, though the company continues posting substantial operating losses. Trader consensus reflected in the Polymarket odds centers on a $1.25–1.75 trillion IPO range, driven by expectations of a significant listing premium, sustained AI demand, and Sam Altman's reported push for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Recent reports indicate OpenAI has hired advisers and is weighing a late-2026 confidential filing versus deferral into 2027, creating uncertainty around timing and market conditions. Key swing factors include execution on profitability, regulatory scrutiny of AI models, competitive positioning against rivals, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth tech listings, with the spread of probabilities underscoring the sensitivity of valuation multiples to these variables.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,019
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's most recent private funding round in March 2026 established an $852 billion post-money valuation amid rapid revenue growth to roughly $2 billion monthly, though the company continues posting substantial operating losses. Trader consensus reflected in the Polymarket odds centers on a $1.25–1.75 trillion IPO range, driven by expectations of a significant listing premium, sustained AI demand, and Sam Altman's reported push for a $1 trillion-plus debut. Recent reports indicate OpenAI has hired advisers and is weighing a late-2026 confidential filing versus deferral into 2027, creating uncertainty around timing and market conditions. Key swing factors include execution on profitability, regulatory scrutiny of AI models, competitive positioning against rivals, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth tech listings, with the spread of probabilities underscoring the sensitivity of valuation multiples to these variables.

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.

The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.

Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.

If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.

If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$6,019
終了日
2027/07/01
マーケット開始日
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$1.25T–$1.5T」で27%、次いで「$1.5T–$1.75T」が22%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、27¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に27%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(May 21, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「$1.25T–$1.5T」で27%であり、市場がこの結果に27%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$1.5T–$1.75T」で22%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OpenAIのIPO評価はどのようになりますか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。