OpenAI’s private valuation reached $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and a subsequent $7 billion secondary share sale completed in August 2026, establishing the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders assign a 40.8% implied probability to a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, reflecting the company’s $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, rapid enterprise adoption, and historical precedent for high-growth tech listings, while the 13.7% chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures ongoing timing uncertainty after confidential S-1 filing and reports favoring a 2027 debut. Key swing factors include sustained ARR expansion, path to profitability amid reported heavy losses, and broader market multiples at resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日1.5兆ドル以上 40.8%
1兆～1.25兆 20.6%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 20%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 13.8%
$114,058 Vol.
$114,058 Vol.
2027/12/30
5,000億未満
<1%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
1%
7,500億～1兆
9%
1兆～1.25兆
21%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
20%
1.5兆ドル以上
41%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
14%
1.5兆ドル以上 40.8%
1兆～1.25兆 20.6%
1.25兆〜1.5兆 20%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない 13.8%
$114,058 Vol.
$114,058 Vol.
2027/12/30
5,000億未満
$8,557 Vol.
<1%
5,000億〜7,500億ドル
$10,396 Vol.
1%
7,500億～1兆
$11,919 Vol.
9%
1兆～1.25兆
$17,239 Vol.
21%
1.25兆〜1.5兆
$10,878 Vol.
20%
1.5兆ドル以上
$30,209 Vol.
41%
2027年12月31日までに上場しない
$24,861 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s private valuation reached $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and a subsequent $7 billion secondary share sale completed in August 2026, establishing the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders assign a 40.8% implied probability to a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, reflecting the company’s $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, rapid enterprise adoption, and historical precedent for high-growth tech listings, while the 13.7% chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures ongoing timing uncertainty after confidential S-1 filing and reports favoring a 2027 debut. Key swing factors include sustained ARR expansion, path to profitability amid reported heavy losses, and broader market multiples at resolution.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
音量
$114,058終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s private valuation reached $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and a subsequent $7 billion secondary share sale completed in August 2026, establishing the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders assign a 40.8% implied probability to a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, reflecting the company’s $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, rapid enterprise adoption, and historical precedent for high-growth tech listings, while the 13.7% chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures ongoing timing uncertainty after confidential S-1 filing and reports favoring a 2027 debut. Key swing factors include sustained ARR expansion, path to profitability amid reported heavy losses, and broader market multiples at resolution.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$114,058終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OpenAI’s private valuation reached $852 billion following its March 2026 funding round and a subsequent $7 billion secondary share sale completed in August 2026, establishing the baseline for IPO pricing expectations. Traders assign a 40.8% implied probability to a closing market cap above $1.5 trillion, reflecting the company’s $2 billion monthly revenue run rate, rapid enterprise adoption, and historical precedent for high-growth tech listings, while the 13.7% chance of no IPO by end-2027 captures ongoing timing uncertainty after confidential S-1 filing and reports favoring a 2027 debut. Key swing factors include sustained ARR expansion, path to profitability amid reported heavy losses, and broader market multiples at resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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