OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned the company for a potential late-year debut targeting up to $1 trillion, supported by its March private round at an $852 billion valuation and rapid revenue growth. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruled out any 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination amid rising regulatory scrutiny. This delay shifts attention to 2027 timing, when the firm could seek a higher entry valuation while navigating ongoing losses and competitive pressures from peers like Anthropic. Traders monitoring implied probabilities should track upcoming safety announcements and any revisions to the listing timeline for clearer signals on debut market-cap thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$1,531,444 Vol.
$1,531,444 Vol.
2027/12/30
8,000億ドル
94%
1兆ドル
95%
1.2兆ドル
86%
1.4兆ドル
84%
1.6兆ドル
73%
$1,531,444 Vol.
$1,531,444 Vol.
2027/12/30
8,000億ドル
$110,932 Vol.
94%
1兆ドル
$1,049,415 Vol.
95%
1.2兆ドル
$249,670 Vol.
86%
1.4兆ドル
$69,598 Vol.
84%
1.6兆ドル
$51,829 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned the company for a potential late-year debut targeting up to $1 trillion, supported by its March private round at an $852 billion valuation and rapid revenue growth. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruled out any 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination amid rising regulatory scrutiny. This delay shifts attention to 2027 timing, when the firm could seek a higher entry valuation while navigating ongoing losses and competitive pressures from peers like Anthropic. Traders monitoring implied probabilities should track upcoming safety announcements and any revisions to the listing timeline for clearer signals on debut market-cap thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
音量
$1,531,444終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned the company for a potential late-year debut targeting up to $1 trillion, supported by its March private round at an $852 billion valuation and rapid revenue growth. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruled out any 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination amid rising regulatory scrutiny. This delay shifts attention to 2027 timing, when the firm could seek a higher entry valuation while navigating ongoing losses and competitive pressures from peers like Anthropic. Traders monitoring implied probabilities should track upcoming safety announcements and any revisions to the listing timeline for clearer signals on debut market-cap thresholds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
音量
$1,531,444終了日
2027/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 positioned the company for a potential late-year debut targeting up to $1 trillion, supported by its March private round at an $852 billion valuation and rapid revenue growth. However, CEO Sam Altman’s September 12 statement ruled out any 2026 IPO, citing the need to prioritize AI safety, alignment, and industry-government coordination amid rising regulatory scrutiny. This delay shifts attention to 2027 timing, when the firm could seek a higher entry valuation while navigating ongoing losses and competitive pressures from peers like Anthropic. Traders monitoring implied probabilities should track upcoming safety announcements and any revisions to the listing timeline for clearer signals on debut market-cap thresholds.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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