Trader sentiment on OpenAI’s IPO raise amount shows notable dispersion, with the highest implied probability (38.5%) on less than $30 billion and the next largest share (25%) on $100 billion or more. This spread reflects uncertainty around valuation multiples amid rapid AI-sector revenue growth, recent private funding rounds, and broader equity-market conditions for large technology listings. Market-implied odds incorporate trader assessments of competitive positioning, potential regulatory scrutiny, and comparable IPO benchmarks, while distinguishing confirmed financial metrics from forward estimates. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC filings or earnings updates that could clarify the company’s path and timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日How much will OpenAI raise in its IPO?
<$30B 38.6%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.1%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
39%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
25%
<$30B 38.6%
$40B–$50B 20.6%
$80B–$90B 19.1%
$100B+ 17%
<$30B
39%
$30B–$40B
4%
$40B–$50B
23%
$50B–$60B
6%
$60B–$70B
8%
$70B–$80B
6%
$80B–$90B
19%
$90B–$100B
5%
$100B+
25%
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: May 21, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on OpenAI’s IPO raise amount shows notable dispersion, with the highest implied probability (38.5%) on less than $30 billion and the next largest share (25%) on $100 billion or more. This spread reflects uncertainty around valuation multiples amid rapid AI-sector revenue growth, recent private funding rounds, and broader equity-market conditions for large technology listings. Market-implied odds incorporate trader assessments of competitive positioning, potential regulatory scrutiny, and comparable IPO benchmarks, while distinguishing confirmed financial metrics from forward estimates. Key upcoming catalysts include any SEC filings or earnings updates that could clarify the company’s path and timeline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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