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icon for Deepseek IPO by...?
財務·AI

Deepseek IPO by...?

icon for Deepseek IPO by...?
財務·AI

Deepseek IPO by...?

$30,875 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$30,875 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年12月31日

$6,456 Vol.

5%

2027年3月31日

$10,457 Vol.

22%

2027年6月30日

$4,772 Vol.

51%

2027年9月30日

$5,525 Vol.

80%

2027年12月31日

$3,665 Vol.

93%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek’s engagement of CITIC Securities in early September 2026 to prepare a Shanghai STAR Market IPO marks the clearest signal yet that the Hangzhou AI lab is advancing toward a domestic listing, likely with filing targeted before year-end and a possible 2027 debut. The move follows a $7.4 billion June raise at roughly $50 billion post-money and an ongoing round eyeing a $74–75 billion valuation, as the company funds compute expansion, talent, and in-house chips amid U.S. export controls. Its September 10 release of the low-cost V4.1-Flash mixture-of-experts model, which undercuts rivals on inference pricing while matching or exceeding benchmarks on coding and agentic tasks, underscores competitive momentum against OpenAI, Anthropic, and domestic peers like Moonshot. Traders are weighing these concrete preparatory steps and revenue momentum nearing $500 million annualized against typical Chinese IPO timelines, regulatory scrutiny, and execution risks on the STAR Market process.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$30,875
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 8:01 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek’s engagement of CITIC Securities in early September 2026 to prepare a Shanghai STAR Market IPO marks the clearest signal yet that the Hangzhou AI lab is advancing toward a domestic listing, likely with filing targeted before year-end and a possible 2027 debut. The move follows a $7.4 billion June raise at roughly $50 billion post-money and an ongoing round eyeing a $74–75 billion valuation, as the company funds compute expansion, talent, and in-house chips amid U.S. export controls. Its September 10 release of the low-cost V4.1-Flash mixture-of-experts model, which undercuts rivals on inference pricing while matching or exceeding benchmarks on coding and agentic tasks, underscores competitive momentum against OpenAI, Anthropic, and domestic peers like Moonshot. Traders are weighing these concrete preparatory steps and revenue momentum nearing $500 million annualized against typical Chinese IPO timelines, regulatory scrutiny, and execution risks on the STAR Market process.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Deepseek completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If Deepseek is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$30,875
終了日
2028/01/01
マーケット開始日
Jul 14, 2026, 8:01 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

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よくある質問

「Deepseek IPO by...?」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2027年12月31日」で93%、次いで「2027年9月30日」が80%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、93¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に93%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Deepseek IPO by...?」は$30.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Jul 14, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Deepseek IPO by...?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Deepseek IPO by...?」の現在のフロントランナーは「2027年12月31日」で93%であり、市場がこの結果に93%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2027年9月30日」で80%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Deepseek IPO by...?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。