Recent confidential SEC filings and media reports have positioned Nasdaq as the frontrunner for Anthropic’s anticipated 2026 IPO, driving the 66% implied probability as traders cite the exchange’s dominance among high-growth artificial intelligence and technology companies. Anthropic’s June 2026 S-1 submission, $65 billion Series H round, and underwriter discussions align with historical patterns favoring Nasdaq for large-cap AI firms, while NYSE trails at 33% due to its association with more established, dividend-focused listings. Limited public details on final exchange selection sustain the 38% “Other” outcome, with market conditions and any late regulatory signals likely to influence the outcome before a potential fall debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日NASDAQ 65%
その他 43%
NYSE 32%
NASDAQ
65%
NYSE
32%
その他
43%
NASDAQ 65%
その他 43%
NYSE 32%
NASDAQ
65%
NYSE
32%
その他
43%
For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Aug 19, 2026, 11:52 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For purposes of this market, “NASDAQ” includes all listing tiers of The Nasdaq Stock Market, including the Nasdaq Global Select Market, Nasdaq Global Market, and Nasdaq Capital Market. “NYSE” includes the New York Stock Exchange and other U.S. equity listing exchanges operated under the NYSE brand, including NYSE American, NYSE Arca, and NYSE Texas.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where Anthropic's shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic becomes publicly traded through a merger, SPAC transaction, reverse merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, this market will resolve to "Other".
If Anthropic lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If Anthropic lists primarily on an exchange other than the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange, or if its shares do not begin regular-way public trading through an IPO or direct listing by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Anthropic or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent confidential SEC filings and media reports have positioned Nasdaq as the frontrunner for Anthropic’s anticipated 2026 IPO, driving the 66% implied probability as traders cite the exchange’s dominance among high-growth artificial intelligence and technology companies. Anthropic’s June 2026 S-1 submission, $65 billion Series H round, and underwriter discussions align with historical patterns favoring Nasdaq for large-cap AI firms, while NYSE trails at 33% due to its association with more established, dividend-focused listings. Limited public details on final exchange selection sustain the 38% “Other” outcome, with market conditions and any late regulatory signals likely to influence the outcome before a potential fall debut.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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