OpenAI completed pre-training for its next frontier large language model, internally codenamed "Spud" and expected to be branded GPT-6, on March 24, 2026, at the Stargate data center in Texas, fueling early trader optimism for a spring launch. However, persistent delays in post-training, red-teaming, and safety evaluations—echoing historical slips like GPT-5's timeline—dashed April 14 rumors, shifting sentiment toward a later 2026 rollout amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos, Google's Gemini updates, and xAI's rapid iterations. Traders eye upcoming developer conferences and OpenAI's earnings calls for timeline clues, with resolution hinging on an official announcement confirming public API or ChatGPT integration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$269,240 Vol.
2026年6月30日
27%
2026年9月30日
63%
2026年12月31日
85%
$269,240 Vol.
2026年6月30日
27%
2026年9月30日
63%
2026年12月31日
85%
For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI completed pre-training for its next frontier large language model, internally codenamed "Spud" and expected to be branded GPT-6, on March 24, 2026, at the Stargate data center in Texas, fueling early trader optimism for a spring launch. However, persistent delays in post-training, red-teaming, and safety evaluations—echoing historical slips like GPT-5's timeline—dashed April 14 rumors, shifting sentiment toward a later 2026 rollout amid competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos, Google's Gemini updates, and xAI's rapid iterations. Traders eye upcoming developer conferences and OpenAI's earnings calls for timeline clues, with resolution hinging on an official announcement confirming public API or ChatGPT integration.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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