OpenAI’s September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra, accompanied by president Greg Brockman’s comments that the model “might” mark AGI and “Welcome to the AGI era,” has fueled discussion but not triggered the formal announcement required to resolve the market. Executives continue to describe Astra as a generational leap in agentic capabilities—evidenced by top scores on FrontierMath, ARC-AGI-3, and ExploitBench—while emphasizing gradual progress and internal milestones rather than declaring the charter definition of highly autonomous systems outperforming humans at most economically valuable work has been met. Sam Altman’s earlier projection of an internal AGI system by year-end 2026 and NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang’s endorsement have not shifted trader consensus, as prediction markets price the gap between hype, benchmark gains, and an official public declaration at roughly 73.5% for “No.” Upcoming catalysts include any year-end internal claims or additional frontier releases before December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$222,591 Vol.
$222,591 Vol.
はい
$222,591 Vol.
$222,591 Vol.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
マーケット開始日： Oct 28, 2025, 11:01 AM ET
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0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
リゾルバー
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s September 3 release of GPT-6 Astra, accompanied by president Greg Brockman’s comments that the model “might” mark AGI and “Welcome to the AGI era,” has fueled discussion but not triggered the formal announcement required to resolve the market. Executives continue to describe Astra as a generational leap in agentic capabilities—evidenced by top scores on FrontierMath, ARC-AGI-3, and ExploitBench—while emphasizing gradual progress and internal milestones rather than declaring the charter definition of highly autonomous systems outperforming humans at most economically valuable work has been met. Sam Altman’s earlier projection of an internal AGI system by year-end 2026 and NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang’s endorsement have not shifted trader consensus, as prediction markets price the gap between hype, benchmark gains, and an official public declaration at roughly 73.5% for “No.” Upcoming catalysts include any year-end internal claims or additional frontier releases before December 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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